Nationai Intelligence Daily Friday
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IRAN
tot jEerta*
Jt ia increasingly likely that President Bani-Sadr will notlear majority in the parliamentary election that todayM forcing him to dealivided legislature.
observers in Tehran believe thathave been hurt by th* succeaa of thethe US Embassy in blocking his efforts to resolvecrisis.
probably will not get
a majority) in manya haa failed to field any candidatea. Some obaarvera believe that Bani-Sadr may resign if ha concludes the legislature ia dominated by hia enemies.
A key factor will be the voters' perception of which candidatea have Ayatollah Khomeini'a blessing, while he haa refused to endorse any candidatea specifically, many Iranians may conclude that Khomeini'a recent movesthe militants indicate that he no longer fully backs Bani-Sadr.
The election campaign haa bean very hard fought. Leftistthe radicalbeen particularly visible, although Khomeini had urged Iranians to boycott the left. Voting haa been auspended in Sanandaj, the capital of Kordeatan Province, allegedly becauae of security problems, but probably alao becauaa of leftist influence among tha Kurds; the Interior Ministry today said tha praaance of "armed groups" probably willostponement of balloting in several other Kurdlah towns.
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