NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY

Created: 3/15/1980

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

National Intelligence Daily

Saturday

0

IPAQ: Domestic Unrest

Antigovernment aatiaitu in Iraqincreasing.

Shia dissident attacks on police and governmentincreased last month in Baghdad and in some southern provinces. In January and again in early March, Shia saboteurs disrupted traffic on thel Basrah rail line.

Kurdish guerrilla activity has also picked up. The Kurds, who are more active when winter weather restricts Iraqi troop movement, probably are being encouraged by

The small Iraqi Communist Party, which is trying to exploit the unrest, la willing to cooperate with anygroup./-

year-old Baathist regime is not in anydanger, however. President Saddam HusaynIraqi leaders are using both repression andto combat disaffection among the large Shiacommunities. The Baathists have also triedtheir secularism and identify more with