Special Analysis
Soil oa Track
priest Jena Bcrtrtuut Arisride probably wiB finish firsl Im the presidential election tomorrow, and kehance of Maiming the absolute majority needed tounoff in January. Sporadic rioteacelikely hut probably will not feme cancwllation of the ballat,nK.
ntcraauoaaJ observers will monitor0 polling places,illion Haitians will vote. Io addition to choosingrowded field of presidential aspirants, voters willicameral legislature and local governing bodies. JflHaat
Ariitide'i popular support has grown in recent weeks as voters have rallied behind bis campaign promises to sweep away entrenched remnants of the Duvilierat regime and to usherewrder His appearances have attracted thousands, aadI be has broadened his backing among the urban poor, peasants, and rank-and-file Laboi
have conducted lackluster campaigns, ccntnn Marcelieves be can
a victory Tor Bazia ia t
coahoon probably will win
exploit
leaden to win the presidency roundegislative plurality.
items in large
Key Army officers remain committed to holding ihe election, despite their concerns that an Ansiide presidency would lead lo persecution of the Armed Forcei The military quickly arrested 12
Anstidehu lnnr could
part from fears that any move against prompt aa uncontrollable popular backlash.
The bal toting probably win proceed unleas violence becomes
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