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Resources for Economists on the Internet, Vol. 4, No. 2, September, 1999
Editor: Bill Goffe <Bill.Goffe@usm.edu>
Editorial Assistant: Elise Braden <elise@econlit.org>
Part 7 of 20
This guide, sponsored by the American Economic Association, lists
more than 1,000 resources on the Internet of interest to academic and
practicing economists, and those interested in economics. Almost all
resources are also described.
Resources for Economists on the Internet (RFE) is a copyrighted work
of the American Economic Association (the "AEA"). Permission to make
digital, electronic or hard copies of part or all of RFE for personal
or classroom use, Usenet distribution, or mailing lists is granted,
provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or direct
commercial advantage and that whole copies show the following notice:
"Resources for Economists on the Internet (RFE), Copyright 1999
American Economic Association"
Otherwise the AEA owns the exclusive right to print, publish,
distribute, reproduce, sell, prepare derivative works, transmit,
download, or otherwise transfer copies of RFE. Copyrights of
components of this work owned by others than the AEA must be honored
and attributed to the rightful owner. Abstracting and short quotes
are permitted. To copy otherwise or to republish otherwise, including
on web pages, in whole or in part requires prior specific permission.
Permissions may be requested from the American Economic Association,
2014 Broadway, Suite 305, Nashville, TN 37203, or via E-mail:
aeainfo@ctrvax.vanderbilt.edu. RFE is provided without any express
or implied warranty.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
For distribution via Usenet, this FAQ is split into 20 parts as large
files don't travel well on Usenet. For other locations of this guide,
see the section titled "1.5 Where to Obtain This Guide" in part 2.
4.0 Forecasting & Consulting
4.1 Conference Board
["Leading Economic Indicators" and non-govt. data]
This organization "is the world's leading business research and
membership organization with 2,800 companies and other enterprises in
63 counties." For data, of particular note are their "Leading,
Coincident, and Lagging Indicators," which are composite indexes of
macro variables that lead the business cycle, coincide with it, or
lag behind it. The most recent release is available here, as are
their values from 1959. There is also information on how the series
are put together.
They also offer the "Business Cycle Indicators" database, which has
some 250 macro variables "that have proven to be most useful in
determining current conditions and predicting the future direction of
the economy." About half the sources are private. Data is updated
several times a month, and is in both spreadsheet and ASCII formats.
It costs $250 a year for individuals, and site licenses and
educational discounts are available.
# http://www.tcb-indicators.org
4.2 First Union's Economic Information
[large bank's economic commentaries]
This bank, headquartered in Charlotte, NC, is the sixth largest bank
holding company in the U.S. Their economics department offers
extensive commentary on most features of the regional, U.S., and
international economy. This includes an analysis of that week's
economic releases, weekly commentaries of the national and
international economy, and forecasts for the next few quarters.
# http://firstunion.com/econews/
4.3 Bank of America Economics and Financial Reports
[large bank's economic commentaries]
This department of Bank of America offers "Weekly U.S. Economic
Briefing" (which focuses on the latest statistical releases with some
emphasis on the likely impact on the bond market), a monthly survey
of Wall Street Economists (which offers summaries of their
publication "Economics Illustrated"), and various reports on topical
macro issues. They offer similar information on the global economy.
# http://www.bankamerica.com/econ_indicator/econ_indicator.html
4.4 Cents Financial Journal
[commentary from many Wall Street economists]
This electronic journal features commentary from some of the finest
analysts of the financial industry. Most of the commentary focuses on
various economic issues, and most is written by economists. The
breadth is surprising and is updated daily. While many will find it
useful, it is designed for students.
# http://www.lp-llc.com/cents/
4.5 Congressional Budget Office
[short and long-term forecasts]
This agency's primary mission is to provide economic and budget
analyses to Congress. Part of this mission is their "Current Economic
Projections," which offers both short-range (18-24 month) and
long-range macro forecasts. Note that the latter do not include
cyclical fluctuations. More information on this office can be found
in the entry "Congressional Budget Office (CBO)" on them.
# http://www.cbo.gov/
4.6 The Dismal Scientist
[macro and regional data with analysis plus general commentary]
This site, part of "Regional Financial Associates," a consulting
firm, bills itself as "The Best Free Lunch on the Web." On the macro
side, they offer not only current releases of many macro series, but
also analysis of each release, and analyses of the economy in general
on a monthly basis. They do the same for regional data. They offer
nearly 130 series on the states, and 60 on 257 metropolitan areas. In
a nice twist, you can sort states and metropolitan areas by these
series (surprisingly interesting). They also offer analyses in the
"Thoughts" section; current sections include the Asian crisis,
financial markets, industry analysis, regional, and the U.S. economy.
There are also macro and regional forecasts, and finally, there is a
useful dictionary and calendar of data releases.
# http://www.dismal.com/
4.7 DRI/McGraw-Hill
[leading firm]
This very well-known consulting and forecasting firm offers a number
of services on-line. For economic information, they offer a weekly
summary of the U.S. economy, the international economy, and financial
markets; they also offer news releases with economic analyses, and an
economic statistics release calendar. You can also read about their
consulting services, their numerous and extensive databases, and
their economic "services" (based upon their U.S., regional, and
sectoral models). Many of their client services are located on-line.
# http://www.dri.mcgraw-hill.com/
4.8 Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI)
[headed by Geoffrey Moore]
This organization is headed by Geoffrey Moore, who of course has
devoted his career to business cycle analysis (for instance, he was
one of the developers of the Leading Economic Indices). Analysis and
development continues here with new methods and techniques, and
forecasting continues (notably, his group forecasted the 1990-91
recession, and the 1998 Japanese downturn, which many missed).
This firm offers two publications to its customers: "U.S. Cyclical
Outlook" and "International Cyclical Outlook" (which covers 14
countries, including the G-7). Back issues are freely available here
for non-customers. They also offer business cycle turning points for
the U.S. and all other countries covered by ECRI, as well as
historical data for the ECRI Weekly Leading Index (published in
"Business Week"). The firm also offers training to governments and
the development of private indicators.
# http://www.businesscycle.com/
4.9 FAIRMODEL
[well-known domestic and international model]
This well-known macroeconometric model is now available on the
Internet. Virtually all the features of the stand-alone package are
now accessible to any user free of charge. This includes the ability
to "forecast, do policy analysis, and examine historical episodes."
Data and forecasts can be both graphed and put into tables (which can
be downloaded). It appears the model itself can be downloaded, and
thus adapted for your own use. Both Fortran and EViews versions are
available.
The U.S. version of the model is rather complex (131 equations in
all; 101 identities and 30 stochastic equations), it is highly
recommended that users read the manual before using it. Extensive
documentation (in fact, much material similar to "Testing
Macroeconometric Models," Ray Fair, Harvard University Press, 1994)
is available. One can also read about the latest forecasts of the
model. To use FAIRMODEL, you must have a browser that supports Java
and frames.
In addition, the multicountry (MC) model is available as well. It
covers the U.S. and 32 other countries. In all, there are some 4,000
variables, not counting the trade share variables (which can be
downloaded). It is thought to be "one of the largest computational
problems that has so far been offered on the Internet."
# http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu/
4.10 The Financial Forecast Center
[focus on financial data]
This site uses neural networks to generate forecasts of financial and
economic data. Besides many stock market indices, they also forecast
various interest rate series (the Prime Rate, Fed Funds Rate, 90 Day
T-Bills, 10 Year T-Bonds, and 30 Year Mortgage Rates). They also
offer a CPI forecast. Short-term forecasts are freely available,
while access to long-term forecasts require a subscription.
# http://www.neatideas.com/economics/
4.11 Foster Associates
[macro, regional, and electrical forecasts (much freely available)]
This 40-year-old economic consulting firm provides information and
analyses for the the U.S. economy, states, metro areas, and the
natural gas and electricity industries. These reports are freely
available. The "Economic Insight/Macro edition" "offers insight into
current macroeconomic conditions, business cycle developments, and
long term economic trends and issues. It surveys both real and
financial sectors of the U.S. economy and provides a quarterly GDP
forecast with detailed explanations of forecast assumptions and
risks." This material is updated weekly, monthly, and quarterly. They
also offer detailed analyses of the current economy. "The State and
Metro area editions of the Foster Forecast provide economic analysis
and performance measures for all 50 states and over 350 metro areas
in the U.S., including relative income and wage levels, employment
growth and volatility, and employment, income, and location quotients
by major industry." The state and metro area information is updated
annually. Detailed analyses, population, income, and employment
forecasts are available for a fee for all states, counties and metro
areas. Currently only examples from some areas are available. Other
areas will be added in the future. (David Carrier kindly looked over
this entry.)
# http://www.foster-fa.com/
4.12 Forecasting Center of the Jerome Levy Economics Institute
[background on their fee-based services]
The Levy Institute Forecasting Center focuses on current trends and
future forecasts of the U.S. economy. The site offers information on
the Forecasting Center and the Levy Institute of Bard College; an
explanation of the profit perspective; and information on staff,
internships, and fellowships. Subscriptions to the "Levy Institute
Forecast" are available for $295 (one year) or $565 (2 years) and
some special academic rates do apply. Information on subscribing is
provided. Some recent press releases are available free-of-charge.
# http://www.forecast.levy.org/
4.13 Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC
[well regarded firm]
Macroeconomic Advisers was founded in 1982 as Laurence H. Meyer &
Associates, Ltd. by Laurence Meyer, Joel Prakken and Chris Varvares.
Laurence Meyer left the firm in June of 1996 to assume a seat on the
Federal Reserve's Board of Governors. Macroeconomic Advisers (MA) is
a privately owned corporation that specializes in macroeconomic
forecasting and policy analysis. MA built, maintains and supports the
Washington University Macroeconometric model of the United States
Economy (WUMM), the first sophisticated macro model available on
personal computers, and now available in our new WUMMSIM for Windows
software.
At this site they offer a fairly detailed description of their model
(including graphs of its response to shocks). They also describe
their services, list their press releases and coming events, a
"Reading Room" with their studies and offer a special area to their
subscribers. This includes a weekly economic commentary, "Fast Facts"
(analyses of recent events), and material for updating and using
their model. Finally, there is a discussion area.
# http://www.macroadvisers.com/
+ 4.14 McKibbin Software Group
+
+ [advanced algorithms]
+
+ This organization, with offices in Texas and Australia, "was formed
+ in 1993 with the goal of making available the latest developments in
+ numerical algorithms for research and policy analysis." These include
+ "DYNGAME" for dynamic rational expectation, Fair-Taylor for nonlinear
+ rational expectations, and CELLVISION a "full-featured spreadsheet
+ editing and graphics for GAUSS." The models include MSG2, a dynamic
+ optimizing CGE model, co-authored with Jeff Sachs; G-CUBED for "the
+ current policy debate on environmental policy and international trade
+ with a focus on global warming policies" (but useful for other topics
+ too); and G-Cubed, ASIA PACIFIC which specializes on that region.
+ They can be ordered on-line.
+
+ The site also contains the many papers that use these tools. Finally,
+ there is information on training and support for these products.
+
+ # http://www.msgpl.com.au/msgpl/msghome.htm
4.15 Morgan Stanley Global Economic Forum
[daily commentary]
This is a regular service to Morgan Stanley customers. It also offers
a daily view on economic affairs and events around the world to
general readers. On each business day, a number of issues are
discussed. Back issues are available as well in the "Archives."
# http://www.ms.com/GEFaccess/index.html
4.16 Regional Economic Models (REMI)
[extensive regional models]
This organization specializes in regional models. They are said to
have special expertise in this area. This site details their
expertise, gives examples of their work, and lists upcoming seminars.
# http://www.remi.com/
4.17 Regional Financial Associates
[full integration of regional model into macro model]
This rapidly growing firm, founded in 1990, analyzes both the U.S.
macroeconomy and regional economies. Like others, they use large
macroeconometric models, but theirs is said to be unique as it fully
integrates local and regional data into the model (causation runs
both from and to the regional sector). The implications for regional
analysis are obvious. They offer a number of services to their
clients, including analysis at the regional and national levels, and
forecasts. All this can be delivered over the net. Some information
is available to non-subscribers.
# http://www.rfa.com/
4.18 Dr. Ed Yardeni's Economics Network
[macro and international charts and analysis]
Ed Yardeni is chief economist of Deutsche Morgan Grenfell (North
America). His site offers a wealth of analysis and data (much of the
later in a very convenient form). It includes "Weekly Economic
Analyses" ("explore the latest economic and financial controversies")
and "Weekly Economic Briefings" ("focus on a key issue each week").
The most recent versions are restricted to customers of his firm. He
also offers "Topical Studies," which cover most any economic topic.
Other material of interest includes macro forecasts of Deutsch Morgan
Grenfell, stock market valuation information, many "Chart Rooms" with
data from markets, the U.S., and the global economy (they are
remarkably insightful and well chosen). Other areas of interest
include "Slide Shows" (of financial and economic charts), a section
on monetary and fiscal policy, and demography and marketing. In the
"Center for CyberEconomics," the interplay between economics and
computing is examined. The current focus is the Year 2000 computer
problem, which Yardeni thinks has a better than even chance of
causing a recession in 2000. Finally, there is a area of links to
useful Internet tools and sites. Almost all the data and analysis is
in PDF format.
# http://www.yardeni.com/
4.19 WEFA Group
[leading forecasting and consulting firm]
This company has a staff of more than 200 economists,
econometricians, researchers, database specialists and support staff
who maintain databases, prepare forecasts for more than 90 countries
and conduct specialized client studies. They offer four general types
of services: (i) forecasts with a focus from an industry to the
globe, (ii) data -- more than two million time series are available
to their customers, (iii) software for managing these time series in
many different ways, and (iv) consulting for clients. As one would
expect, they have a considerable effort devoted to the U.S. economy,
and one can sample their work here.
Their site offers a great variety of information on themselves and
their products. This includes details on their U.S. macro products,
their services for various industries, Latin America, foreign
exchange, decision support and data software, and corporate
information on themselves. In short, they offer a wealth of services
for anyone interested in economic issues and decision support
services.
WEFA is an outgrowth of Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates,
which was founded in 1963 by Lawrence R. Klein. It merged with Chase
Econometrics in 1987, and in 1994 it was acquired by Bain Capital,
and in 1997 by Primark, a global economic and financial information
company. (Pat Rocco kindly contributed to this summary.)
# http://www.wefa.com/
+ 4.20 Wells Fargo Economic Reports
+
+ [financial market and foreign exchange focus]
+
+ This bank's economic department offers two wide-ranging reports:
+ "Financial Market Strategies" and "Foreign Exchange Report." The
+ former examines factors that might influence the bond, currency, and
+ equities markets; it is surprisingly wide-ranging. The latter clearly
+ has an international focus.
+
+ # http://wellsfargo.com/econ/
4.21 DIA Agency Inc.
[general equilibrium models]
This firms specializes in general equilibrium models. They offer two
versions of a U.S. GEModel that can be downloaded from their site
(further, the model is not U.S. specific). They also offer a number
of support and educational materials, a list of fees, and information
about their consulting services.
# http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/DiaAgency/diaagenc.htm
4.22 Bank of Hawaii Economic Research Center
[Pacific conditions]
This site offers a number of analyses and reports of both Hawaii and
a number of other Pacific islands. There is substantial data as well,
and you can even tailor data requests.
# http://www.boh.com/econ/
4.23 The Brattle Group
[world-wide consulting]
This consulting group provides services to world-wide corporations
and law firms. The firm specializes in the areas of environmental
compliance and liabilities, financial and regulatory economics,
litigation, and utility companies. This site provides information on
these areas of expertise and practice; staff members; job
opportunities; and publications, including newsletters that can be
downloaded.
# http://www.brattle.com
4.24 Charles River Associates Auction Consulting
[assistance with auctions]
Charles River Associates (CRA), a consulting firm, has partnered with
Market Design Inc. (MDI), and they specialize in providing auction
design and implementation to government and business clients
participating in auctions in telecommunications, electricity, mineral
rights, and other industries. The company also offers bidder support
and strategies, auction software, and training for both auctioneers
and bidders. This site provides information on the CRA auction team,
projects of the firm, and selected auction publications.
# http://www.crai.com/auction.htm
4.25 Green Interest Rate Swap Management
[help with interest rate swaps]
This company advises on interest rate swaps. To quote, "We do an
in-depth analysis of your debt portfolio and advise as to alternative
transactions. We also facilitate closings and administer
documentation." Thus, while quite specialized, they do offer a very
useful service.
# http://home.earthlink.net/~green/
4.26 Market Design Inc. (MDI)
[assistance with auctions]
"Market Design Inc. offers consulting services in the design of
auction markets. Our principals are academic experts in economic
theory and game theory, and have advised governments and firms
worldwide on setting up electronic markets for telecommunications,
electricity, mineral rights, and 'stranded assets.'" This site lists
members of the firm, and provides downloadable technical papers and
reports. MDI is also involved in designing auction rules tailored to
particular auction sales. Along with Charles River Associates, they
create software which enables clients to implement their designs.
Some projects include spectrum auctions in Australia, Mexico, Canada,
and for the FCC; California Power Exchange; Standard Offer Service
Auction Design and Implementation; Universal Service Auctions; and
designs for New Zealand. They are also involved in giving strategic
advice to bidders in spectrum auctions; and in spectrum license
valuations. However, they do not advise bidders and sellers in the
same auction.
# http://www.market-design.com/
4.27 Regional Economic Research, Inc. (RER)
[energy consulting]
This research and consulting firm provides services to utility
companies and corporate clients and government agencies interested in
energy. The forecasting section of this site focuses on energy and
business forecasting, while the market information area provides
market research and energy studies, as well as several energy
analysis software packages. Customized software and business
solutions are also available. Utility restructuring services,
workshop sessions, and user group information is available on this
site. Finally, eight software packages for the energy industry are
highlighted.
# http://www.rer.com
4.28 STA Research
[futures and options analysis]
This company, as part of its futures and options trading for clients,
makes available a variety of current data and short term forecasts
(when available) for many economic and agricultural variables. It is
organized by economic and agricultural data that will be released in
the U.S. and other countries in both the coming week and month. One
portion, the "Weekly Economic Report Outlook," is available via a
mailing list. It is described in the mailing list section.
# http://stafutures.com/
# Information: <staresearch@syncentral.com>
4.29 Damage Valuation Associates
This firm "brings you the latest information on valuation of
environmental damages from the courts, from government agencies, from
the academic literature, and from unpublished studies." Besides
on-line information, they have an electronic newsletter that
publishes this information. Their consulting business "specializes in
evaluating the economic and financial impacts of environmental
hazards and real estate development projects."
# http://www.damagevaluation.com/
4.30 Econ One
This site explains this firm's litigation goals, their expertise in
regulation, and their consulting arrangements with both corporate and
government clients. Speeches, papers, and articles can be ordered
on-line. Information on clients, staff, job opportunities, and news
about the firm is available on this site.
# http://www.econone.com
4.31 Economists Incorporated
This firm, based in both Washington and London, "has participated in
path breaking and high profile antitrust, commercial litigation, and
regulatory matters." They have a staff of more than 30 economists who
have extensive experience in almost all areas of commerce. They also
employ nearly 20 research associates.
# http://www.ei.com/
4.32 Fishkind & Associates
This firm, based in Orlando, Florida, provides litigation support and
a model of the Florida economy.
# http://www.fishkind.com/
+ 4.33 Micronomics, Inc.
+
+ This consulting firm, based in both Los Angeles and Washington, D. C.
+ , claims expertise in intellectual property valuation, mergers and
+ acquisitions, antitrust law, health care, database management, and
+ market research. The firm is "a leading provider of litigation
+ support services, economic analysis and expert testimony" to many of
+ the country's top law firms. They also specialize in intellectual
+ property, forecasting, financial analysis, and risk management and
+ are available to provide this knowledge to the business consulting
+ community. Publications and employment opportunities can be found at
+ this site.
+
+ # http://www.micronomics.com
4.34 Spectrumeconomics
This firm "specializes in litigation support and economic analysis of
business enterprises." Here you can read about their work, personnel,
papers, sample reports, and speeches.
# http://www.spectrumeconomics.com/
4.35 Triangle Economics Research
This consulting firm specializes in environmental economics. They
have a particular focus on damage assessment and health valuation.
You can read about their staff and organization, their work, and read
their working papers.
# http://www.ter.com/
4.36 Alphametrics
[financial trading and economics consulting]
This firm specializes in consulting for firms that have needs in
financial trading and economics (such as risk management with their
FXAT system). Economic consulting includes "the development of
policy, compilation of large-scale reports, quantitative analysis,
data processing, modeling, packaged econometrics software (MODLER),
and the development of bespoke economic information systems." They
have offices around the world, and do a considerable amount of
business in Europe.
# http://www.Alphametrics.co.uk
4.37 Atlantica Associates
[specializes in currency risk]
This economic and financial organization provides personal and
customized research support for its worldwide clients. Their
expertise on currency risk is used in different ways, subject to
clients' different internal business objectives. This site provides
information on currency risk for twenty different countries, current
research topics, and publications.
# http://www.aainternational.org
4.38 BCS Consulting Enterprise
[Canadian firm with many areas]
This Canadian firm has a number of areas of expertise. They include
"defence economics, economic and business forecasting, economic
modeling and quantitative analysis (Including national and community
level Input-Output models), program evaluation and management,
peacekeeping and U.N. issues, regional and sectoral economics and
socio-economic data analysis and management." They also assist small
and home offices with information technology, including Intranet and
Internet work. You can read about their various products here (such
as impact analysis at national and local levels, and decision
management algorithms) as well as read a list of their papers.
# http://www.infomatch.com/~bsolomon/bcs1/bcs.htm
4.39 Cambridge International Forecasts
[free and fee-based country studies]
This organization of academics, statisticians and country experts
prepares country studies that are updated monthly. One can purchase a
all studies, a single study, or even part of one study (each is
broken into 17 sections. In addition, there is a substantial amount
of sample information.
# http://www.camforecast.com/
4.40 Centre for International Economics (CIE)
[Australian firm]
This private company, with offices in Canberra and Sydney, Australia,
offers a wide variety of services to it customers, who are around the
world. Their services range from trade policy analysis to economic
model building to conferences to analysis of commodities and markets.
Besides information on itself, they also have their publication
on-line.
# http://www.intecon.com.au
4.41 Conference Board of Canada
[largest non-profit research group in Canada]
This organization is said to be the largest non-profit economic
research group in Canada. They offer many services: the "Consumer
Confidence Index," the "Business Attitudes Index," and forecasts
(including construction and housing and the provinces). They also
offer various reports on the Canadian economy and both U.S. and
Canadian data (the latter is CANSISIM). Some of the material is
available to all, while material is available only to subscribers.
# http://www2.conferenceboard.ca/weblinx/
+ 4.42 Infometrics
+
+ [New Zealand focus]
+
+ This privately-owned, commercial-oriented, and business-focused New
+ Zealand consulting firm provides economic forecasts of both New
+ Zealand and overseas economies affecting New Zealand. They use a
+ variety of economic models. The company also presents up-to-date,
+ multi-media presentations for clients at conferences and seminars, as
+ well as customized publications and regular data updating services.
+ The online index includes the following areas: overseas economies,
+ New Zealand macro topics, business issues, New Zealand industries,
+ New Zealand regions, financial markets, consulting, on-line seminars,
+ weekly overview, economic terminology, customized data, portfolio
+ investments, and publications. An on-line subscription can cost
+ anywhere from $NZ 1,000 for individual areas to $NZ 15,000 for full
+ access to all of the website. The "Free Lunch" area has relevant
+ articles, debates, media releases, market rates, and column archives.
+
+ # http://www.infometrics.co.nz/
4.43 London Economics
[large U.K. firm]
This firm, "the largest and most successful independent economics
consultancy in the UK," details itself here. They have a full-time
staff of 70, and more than 40% of their business is from outside the
U.K. (they also have offices in Melbourne and Boston). An area of
special skills is "industries where regulatory or fiscal structure
have a strong impact on performance." However, they are also quite
wide-ranging: their services range includes litigation support,
strategy, energy, water, and infrastructure. Finally, they publish an
on-line newsletter, "Economics in Action"
# http://www.londecon.co.uk/
4.44 Lombard Street Research Ltd.
[said to forecast well]
This U.K. firm is said to have an excellent forecasting track record.
It was founded in 1989 by Tim Congdon, who has long experience in
forecasting the U.K. and other economies. Prof. Congdon heads up the
U.K. service, while Brian Reading leads the international sector. A
variety of service levels are available; this includes slightly dated
material that is freely available (though one must register). Their
customers include a number of firms in the City and beyond.
# http://www.lombard-st.co.uk
+ 4.45 McKibbin Software Group
+
+ [advanced algorithms]
+
+ This organization, with offices in Texas and Australia, "was formed
+ in 1993 with the goal of making available the latest developments in
+ numerical algorithms for research and policy analysis." These include
+ "DYNGAME" for dynamic rational expectation, Fair-Taylor for nonlinear
+ rational expectations, and CELLVISION a "full-featured spreadsheet
+ editing and graphics for GAUSS." The models include MSG2, a dynamic
+ optimizing CGE model, co-authored with Jeff Sachs; G-CUBED for "the
+ current policy debate on environmental policy and international trade
+ with a focus on global warming policies" (but useful for other topics
+ too); and G-Cubed, ASIA PACIFIC which specializes on that region.
+ They can be ordered on-line.
+
+ The site also contains the many papers that use these tools. Finally,
+ there is information on training and support for these products.
+
+ # http://www.msgpl.com.au/msgpl/msghome.htm
4.46 Olsen & Associates
[financial market research and consulting]
"(O&A) is a world leader in high-quality economic research in the
field of financial markets. In particular, O&A specializes in the
forecasting and historical analysis of foreign exchange rates, but
soon also interest rates and market indices. We also provide trading
models which give explicit recommendations for a number of currencies
and specific trading profiles. O&A's innovation and research has led
to cutting-edge forecasting and trading model technology and risk
management products.
"Over the past eight years with over 120 man-years of effort, O&A has
developed and operated a real-time foreign exchange decision support
system covering 84 currencies, 24 hours a day, 365 days a year. This
is the O&A Information System (OIS). The fully supported system
offers price and volatility forecasts, historical analysis, and
specific trading recommendations with user-friendly graphical
interfaces."
Some of their forecasts and analyses are available without paying a
fee (though you must register). In addition, you can find just about
any foreign exchange rate for a given day since January 1, 1990
(including, it seems, rates on the previous day). Obviously, this
feature is very useful.
But, perhaps of greater interest to researchers is the high frequency
exchange rate data they sell for a quite reasonable fee. The dataset,
called HFDF93, was originally made available for their "High
Frequency Data in Finance" conference, held March, 1995.
Specifically, it has data from "1. Exchange rate quotes for USD-DEM,
USD-JPY and DEM-JPY; 2. Three month maturity interbank deposit rate
quotes for USD, JPY and DEM; and 3. Money Market Headline News
(text)." The data spans the year from Oct. 1, 1992 to Sept. 30, 1993,
is 112 megabytes in size, and they charge $200 for this dataset
(which allows them to cover some of their costs). Data is available
on tapes (DAT or 8mm Exabyte) or via ftp. They can be contacted at
the address given below. When requesting the data, one should include
a short abstract of the proposed work.
In addition, they have other data, and internal and published papers,
that are publicly available.
# http://www.olsen.ch/
# Information: <info@olsen.ch>
4.47 Oxford Economic Consulting
[U.K. forecasting and consulting]
This firm was formed "in 1981 by a group of academics and
professional forecasters." It has partners in the U.S., China, and
Europe. Its reach is large; its products include "PC-based models,
regular reports, conferences, specialist reports and analysis of the
international economy, and consultancy." As one would expect, they
also prepare forecasts and large econometric models (demonstration
software for their World model is available here). Currently, they
offer their "World Economic Prospects Monthly Review" and the "Oxford
Weekly UK Indicator" on-line.
# http://www.oef.co.uk
4.48 Boye-Lord International
This small firm carries "out research in international economic
development, with strong links to trade and investment, private
sector development, macroeconomics, agriculture, industry,
econometrics and other quantitative methods in Latin America,
Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Central Asia, and Eastern Europe."
Information on their services and projects can be found here.
# http://www.boyelord.com/
4.49 Economic Consulting Services Inc. (ECS)
This firm deals with consulting on international trade issues. Their
specific areas of expertise are (i) "International transfer pricing
for tangible and intangible property," (ii) "Antidumping,
countervailing duty, and other trade remedy actions," (iii) Trade
representation and information services, customs rules and
regulations, and international trade policy," and (iv) "Foreign and
domestic market research and analysis."
# http://www.economic-consulting.com/
4.50 Klonic Morocco Consultants
This consulting firm, based in Morocco, covers the gamut of economic
and business consulting. They have a considerable amount of
experience with a number of different firms and agencies from around
the world.
# http://www.acdim.co.ma/klonic/
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