CIWS: LEBANON

Created: 10/12/1961

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CONFIDENTIAL

Current Intelligence Weekly Summary

central intelligence agency

office of current intelligence

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THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATIONTHE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANINOvOF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS,SC. SECTIONS1S3, THEOR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON iS PROHIBITED BY LAW.

The Current Intelligence Weekly Summary has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Central Intelligence Agency. It does notomplete coverage ol all current situations. Comments and conclusions represent the Immediate appraisal of the'Qfflce of Current Intelligence.

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lOfTOTIAL ' EES-"

CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY1

MIDDLE EAST DEVELOPMENTS

CONriDDlTIAL

confidential

CONflDCNTIAL

CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY

Considerable political turmoil bas occurred In Lebanon in the aftermath of the Syrian revolt. Moslems tended to back Nasir, while Christiansthe new Syrian regime. Pro-Nasir demonstrations werefull play by Moslem Prime Minister Salb Salam until threats by Christian ministers and pressure from President Shlhab led the government to ban all demonstrations, suspend licenses for carrying arms, and forbid the display ofof non-Lebanese political leaders.

President Shlhab, who bas been displeased with Salam for some time, probably will carryabinet change in the near future. Although Salam's arcb-rlval Rasbid Karaalto become prime minister, it appears that the President has Husayn al-Uwaynl In mind. Shihab may feel thatoderate Moslem leaderong association with King Saud, is the best choiceime when Lebanon must tread warily between friendship with Nasir and the necessity of doingwith its neighbor Syria. Uwaynleart attack last summer whileisit to King Saud.

While there is widespread dissatisfaction among army'the odds against acoup appear considerable. In the Baghdadto any couphasplaced those army units suspected of unreliability between units commanded by trustworthy officers.

CONFIDENTIAL

Oct 61

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