THE CRISIS USSR/CUBA

Created: 11/6/1962

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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY

THE CRISIS

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PREPARED FOR THE EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL.

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FURTHER DISSEMINATION OF INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS NOT AUTHORIZED.

About nalJ of the missile transporters and launching equipment previously identified at the MRBM sites now have appeared ln Cuban ports.

Preliminary analysisovember photography showsf theRBM missile transporters at the port of Mariel have been loaded on the decks of Soviet ships in the harbor, and one of the ships is apparently leaving port. Moscow thus appears to be shipping missiles from Cubawaiting for ships capable of carrying them below deck.

All six of the IRBM launch rings previously observed are now at dock-side, according to photographyovember. Coverage of the known IRBM and MRBM sites confirms that they are being abandoned. Some trucks and tents remain at several sites.

Some MRBM equipment, includingissile transporters, has been seen near the port of Casllda, which is on the southern coast of Cuba near Trinidad. Casllda wasort of entry for MRBM equipment during the missile build-up in Cuba, and lt does not appear toogical port for the removal of equipment from the known offensive missile sites, none of which are ln this area.

ovember photography revealed no evidence of the presence of nuclear warheads in Cuba. No unusual security measures which would be suggestive of warheads or nosecones were noted at any port facilities.

All the SAM sites covered lnovember photography are believed to be still operational: there Is no evidence of preparations to abandon them.

There is also no evidence of any intention to withdraw Sovietet light bombers from Cuba. Low levelrevealed tho presenceovemberf theseand fuselage crates for an additionalt San Julian airfield in Plnar del Rio Province. It alsouselage crates at Bolguln airfield in Oriente Province. These are almost certainly those observed on tho Soviet vessel Lenlnsky Komsomol before it dockeduban port near Bolguln onctober. Together with the four fuselage crates observedransshipment point near San Julian, the newly identified crates boost tohe number ofircraft known to be ln Cuba.

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Holguin airfield, which was enlarged earlier this year, Is apparently becoming an operational air force installation, messages ordering resumption of civil air operations said no use of Holguin would be permitted until further notice.

Cuban propaganda mediaovember continued toack of information on the status of talks between Cuban leaders and Soviet First Deputy Premier Mikoyan. Some clue as to the progress of these talks or on any changes in the attitude of Castro regime officials towards the USSR may be given tonight by veteran Cuban Communist leader and agarian reform chief Carlos Rafael Rodriguez, who is to deliver the keynote speechublic commemoration of tbe October

Bloc spokesmen continue to emphasize tbe line tbatactions during tbe Cuban crisis saved world peace. Tbe advance text of Soviet Party Presidium member Kosygln's speech at the Kremlin today on .the occasion ofhof the October Revolution notes the President's "solemn doclaratlon" that there would be no Invasion of Cuba. Kosygln cites this as Justification for withdrawing Soviet missiles from Cuba, since tbe "presence" of these weapons "lost Its purpose." He addresses himself to the question of "who gave ln to whom" and responds, "we consider that thisompromise from bothompromise tosense and peace."

In line with Moscow's current de-emphasis of tbe Oerman question, Kosygln pays only lip service to the issue. Bethat the Soviet peoples want firm guarantees "today, and not after some indefinite period ofgainst the repetition of German aggression, but says nothingeadlineeparate treaty.

ovember Pravda carried an article by Polish leader Gomulka defending the Soviet back-down ln Cuba. He claimed that the USSR scored the major achievement ofa US promise not to invade Cuba.

Bulgarian party leader Zhivkov followed the same line at the eighth party congresa ln Sofia. His speechdrew loud applause, accordingestern press account, but the head of the Chinese Communist delegation sat back silently with folded arms.

In China, the Peiping regime continues to inveigh against any sign of Com^-nist weakness on Cuba. For the third day running, mass demonstrations were organized throughout the country In support of Castro's "five just demands." Echoing tbe mainland press, Communist newspapers ln Hong Kong are scoring policies of "appeasement." One newspaper Indicated its disagreement with "some people" who felt that "Cuba is tooountry toar with the United States."

SOVIET BLOC SHIPPING TO CUBA

There now are eight Soviet dry cargo ships, six Soviet tankers and two satellite dry cargo ships bound for Cuban ports. These include the ORENBURG and the OKHOTSK, fastfreighters with large hatchyeet) capable of carrying ballistic missiles and transportersdeck. Both could arrive ln Havana aboutovember.

The third Soviet ship of this class, the OMSK, was scheduled to load ore in Novorossiskovenberoyage to Japan. It seems likoly that this schedule will be followed.

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