ESTIMATE OF CURRENT POLITICAL SITUATION IN URUGUAY - SITUATION APPRAISAL AS OF

Created: 6/18/1964

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

LBJ LIBRARY Mandatory Revirwft-yfO

to"

country URUGUAY

date of info.

INTILLIOENCf AOINCY

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Intelligence Information Cable

APPROVED FOB RELEASE

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SUBJECT

ROUTINE

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TS

IS)

2. REPORTS OF PREPARATIONSOUP AOAJNST THE UHUGUATAN GOVERNMENTIOH POINT DURINQ THK WKSKI1 BECAUSE OF VARIOUS FACTORS, THE HOST IMPORTANT BEING THE FOLLCWINGi

A. THE CON'STANT DRUMMING ONP1STA THKMEL POPULAR, NEWSPAPER OF THK URUGUAYAN COMMUNIST PARTIMD BPOCA, THTRD-POSITIOMIST NEWSPAPER.

THbi nUUIUl contain* uromatlqo iffK'Jm U* NBUcmal [Mfraa*HIAlat wIUiIb IM dmdIDIHit iTOW

cu INTW Hi- uiunUflcv or raxiauon <rf .Mr.li Id mj budkn uudUiorlMd pnwprchttutrt bj la*

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STATf/INI DIA AAMY/ACH KAVT Alt Kl MCDM NU MIC AID USIA OCI OCI OM OO '

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THE LENGTH OF THE CABINET CRISIS WHICH HAS DESP9IED 1KB AV2RAGS URUGUAYAN'S FEELING OF FRUSTRATIONIVIDED AND INEPT GOVERNMENT MAJORITT. THE NfJW MINISTERIAL APPOINTMENTS SHOULD CAUSE THE REPORTSOUP TO SUBSIDE, BUT DO NOT GIVE ANY PROMF BETTER GOVERNMENT OR LEADERSHIP.

3. THE STEADY DETERIORATION OF THE ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL SITUATION NDSR AN ALMOST ANARCHIC STATE OF GOVERNMENT HAS LED TO THE UNIFICATION IN THE ARMYMALL, BUT NONETHELESS INFLUENTIAL NUCLEUS OF OFFICERS WHO ARE ACTIVISTS, THEREBY INCREASLNO TO SOME DEGREE AT LEAST THE ARMY'S IN FLU BICE IN THE POLITICAL SYSTEM DJ URUGUAY.

li. COUP TALE WILL PROBABLY COMTIMUE AS LONG ASDD1 TO DETERIORATE, BUT THE STAGE PROBABLY HAS NOT YET BEEN REACHEDOUP CAN BE SUXESSFULLI CONSUMMATED.

VENTURA FELIPE RODRIGUEZ, CHIEF OF THE MONTEVIDEOWT, HAS GIVEN NO INDICATION THAT HE HAT BE INVOLVED IN THECONTINUES TO SHOW DEEP CONCERN OVER SERIOUS CIVIL OUTBREAKS AND

DEMONSTRATIONS THAT HE EXPECTS TO OCCUR DCRIN3 THE COKING WINTERTHE LACK OF POLICE CAPABILITY TO DEAL EFFECTIVELY WITH BIS PRIME PURPOS2 IN LIFE APPEARS TO BE TO MAKEAN EFFECTIVE LAWrs

CSO ,

HJD

Original document.

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