Central Intelligence Bulletin
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WEST GERMANY: The Munich tragedy hasajor blow to West Germany's self-esteem andprestige, and could affect the coming elections.
Chancellor Brandt had hoped that the Olympic Games, the first in Germanyould giveorely needed boost in the parliamentary elections this fall. Although he and his colleagues in Bonn performed creditably during the crisis, the fact of the tragedy and the inevitable questions about how it was handled will overshadow all other aspects of the games.
A public mood of dissatisfaction/ shame, and even insecurity could harm Brandt's election chances if only because he is the incumbent. Publicis likely to focus on the inability of security officials to anticipate or prevent the terrorist attack and, later, to rescue the Israeli hostages.
The Christian Deniocratic/Christian Social opposition will probably find it difficult tothe tragedy. Although both parties havo hit hard on the "law and order" issue, the conservative Christian Social Union controls the Bavarianand, in West Germany's federated police structure, would have to bear the onus for much criticism. Political leaders and security officials from all parties, moreover, Joined forces on Sin reacting to the terrorist attack. The temptation to seek partisan political gain may also be offsetreater desire to prevent further damage to West Germany's international image.
The extent and nature of foreign reaction could also have an Impact in West Germany. German opinion will be most sensitive to any criticism from Israel, although Brandt appears to haveWest German actions with an Israeliminister who flew to Municheptember.
Intelligence BulletinOriginal document.