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Directorate of
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Intelligence Produciion Center
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The huge global narcotics business ta taking advantage of rising worldwide demand for cocaine and heroin and it adjusting to trends in the newenvironment, including the dropping of trade barriers and the spread of market etonomies. The world's, most powerful traffickingCalireat deal of resiliency, changingand security operations lo blunt threats from rivals andforces. And traffickers manipulate the political and legal systems of countries worldwide.
Besides strategic analysis to support the development and implementation of US national policies, the DCI Crime and Narcotics Center (CNC) in its Community rote pays particular attention to providing actionable tactical intelligence for use by US lav. enforcement agencies and the military involved in counternarcotics This collaborative interagency target analysis effort led by CNC has had great success in marshaling intelligence and law enforcement resources againsl the major cocaine traffickinga program called the Linearlhe Southeast Asian heroina similar program called Linkage.
Through the melding of analytical, operational, and technical expertise, wc haveniquely effective raullidistiplinary approach to these issues thai pays high dividends for US decisionmakers and for US law enforccmcn! agencies. CNC analysts are able to draw upon analytic resources throughout the Intelligence Community to produce integrated strategic and tactical analysis.!
__plovc working relationshipsCNCIA and with lav enforcement agencies allow for mutual exchange of intelligenceand analysis and for intelligence production focused to the needs of operational consumers. Our analyiical effort benefits from continual devel opment and application of analysis
Out program of analysis on narcotics is responsive to Ihc policy priorities laid out in Presidential Decision Directive (PDD)-I4 on cocaine and the pending Presidential Decision Directive on heroin. Analytical focus will continue to be on gauging the narcotics threat and the effectiveness ofactivities. In addition, wc areaseline research andeffort on the economic impact of the drug trade. By directly addressing ho* foreign narcotics developments affect US interests, by identifying key nodes and vulnerabilities in the international drag trade, and by noting opportunities lor counternarcotics gains, our finished intelligence will help policymakers to assess lhe threat and to make critical decisions regarding counternarcotics policy
In lhe coming year, CKC will address five overarching themes relevant to senior policymakers and the counternarcotics community:
Trends in narcotics production and smuggling.
estimates of illicit coca and opium is the foundation of this effort!
Changing dynamics in tlie cocaine trade. Our focus here will be lo look at how cocaine traffickers arc adapting to regional antidrug efforts and exploiting potential new markets.
Structure and dynamics of the heroin trade. With lhe new emphasis being given to countering rising heroinin the pending Presidential Decision Directive onefforts to enhance understanding of the heroin trade are particularly important.
Counternarcotics policies, plans, and objectives of governments in the major drug-producing and transit countries. The Presidential Decision Directive on cox^uihtiaYejiJto^ to antidrug efforts in the Andean
sourcetheir role and cooperation critical to
US policy. In the heroin trade, the counternarcotics efforts of key transit countries are vital because antidrug cooperation with theirce countries forandproblematic at best.
of the drug trade. In most of the major drug-producingIhc inhabitants of poor, remote narcotics crop-growing regions are dependent on the drug trade for their livelihood. We oreesearch and analytical effort lo assess Ihc dependence of local economies
on Ihc drug trade and the potential for economic alternatives. Wc also will examine ihc impact of money laundering on the strength and credibility of national economies.
An important part of CNC's effort is organizational and infrastructureof drug trafficking organizations. CNC will continue producing studies on selected trafficking organizations |
Within the Intelligence Community, CNC andloseon analytical issues and projects concerning counternarcotics.much of its analytic effort on this issue to tactical analysts oforganizations and infrastructure, and exploitation ofthrough the Document Chronicle program. There is extensivebetween DIA andavoideffort. While DIA and CNC alreadytrong cooperativethat has contributed to several joint papers and active participationstrategic forums, bolh agencies have agreed to seekto do joint projects.
gani/.rd Crime
Original document.
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