NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY

Created: 11/14/1980

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

National Intelligence Daily Friday

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SITUATION REPORTS

I RAN-1RAO

Kuuait officially protested yeaterday to the Iranian Anbaeoa-dor about Wednesday's airairike on the Al Abdali border poet.

_another air-Btrike on the same post occurredovember. The Kuwaitis originally considered that strike an accident because the bombs' arming devices wore not sot, but the two incidents will hoighton Kuwait's anxiety that Iran will attack its oil facilities. The public expressions of support from Saudi Arabia and Qatar yesterday will do little to alleviate those fears.

Kuwait probably will continue limited economicfor Iraq because of pressure from Baghdad and Axab nationalist sympathies. It may, however, proclaim its neutrality ^ore rigorously and temporarily reduceto Iraq.

Baghdad clearly hopes the Iranian hostility toward Kuwait will drive Arabs more firmly Into the Iraqi camp.

The Iranian airstriko will make it easier for Baghdad to rally support for its cause at the Arab summit meeting scheduled for later this month in Amman. Only Jordan has openly supported Iraq's war effort, although several Persian Gulf states, including Kuwait, have quietlyIraq with economic assistance, such as cash grants, alternative oil supplies for Iraq's regular customers, and transshipment of goods.

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