MIDDLE EAST/AFRICA BRIEF OCPAS MEA 83-209 FOR OCTOBER 1983.

Created: 10/28/1983

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

CT 83

CONTENTS

IRAQ*IRAN: BAGHDAD THREATENS AIRSTRIKES

1. IRAQ-IRAN: BAGHDAD THREATENS AIRSTRIKES

ET

LEAKS

i [IRAQ HOS RCPcATCD ITS THREAT TO INTENSIFY MR ATTACKS AGAINST IRAN. AS IRANIAN FORCES IN IRAQ PUSH TOWARD PANJWIN.

DATE:

S3

CT 83

OIRECTOR

IRAQIS HAVE STATED PRIVATELYSOON WOULD AI TACK IRANIAN TARGETS ALONG THEPOSSIBLY INCLUDING THE JAPANESE-BUILT PETROCHEMICAL PLANTKHOAfE/NI. THE JAPANESE MERE AOVISEO TO WITHDRAWFROM THE SITE. IRAQI PRESIDENT SADDAM HUSAYN.VISIT TO IHE FRONT ON MONOAY, WARNED THAT IRAQ AGAINAGAINST TARGETS IN IRAN UNLESS TEHRAN STOPPED

I THE WARNINGS COINCIDE WITH HEAVY FIGHTING IN NORTHERN IRAQ.

N FORCES

UPYING KEY HIGH GROUND HAVENCIRCLED PANJWIN.| |

n

SATURDAY IRAQ

3

HAD ALREADY SUFFERED MOREASUALTIES. TEHRAN CLAIMS THE

AQIS HAVE BEGUN DESTROYING FACILITIES AT PANJWIN.

AGHDAO CONTINUES TO SEEK TO JUSTIFY IN ADVANCE AN ESCALATION OF THE WAR. AS IT INCREASES ITS RHETORIC, IRAQ WILL FEEL MORE IMPELLED TO IMPLEMENT ITS THREATS. ESPECIALLY AFTER THE SUPER ETENDflflDS ARRIVE FROM FRANCE.

IRAQI FORCES ARE DESTROYING FACILITIES AT PANJWIN. THEY PROBABLY EXPECT IT TO FALL SOON. THE IRANIANSARE LIKELY TO USE THE TOWNASE TO SUPPORT DISSIDENTS IN IRAQ.

"SEenei__

Original document.

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