NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY (CABLE): MANGISTU UNDER PRESSURE

Created: 12/19/1984

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

'A V,W 'J Inttlltaeoea

Op Secret

National Intelllgence Daily

VYednaaday

Cable

TMi dormantaatrorad wllhln tin wortlng daya It la not to baor aioMrtd. indviduaiay ba ratalrvvd upaya. Exoeptlona lo tba iMia nalrlctlomppro.k) by tba originator.

APPROVED FOR RELEASE QATF:2

Sflcml

Th* nem sJ; months could ba pft-iiculerly ditficull forpreading food ahortagea win lev ca ihe regime lo uso additional scarce resources and to divert mier national assistance, ll food shortages incvio lead to serious cm: disiurbances in Addis Ababa, dloruntlad military offlecra could De tempted to move against the

regime

The rag me, will remain daoar.dBnt on Western flonors for large amounta ol assistance over the corning year, but Mengisiu's deep suspicions of US intentions sett conllnuaamper rebel efforts to Insurgant-contfoecl regions. Me probably brieves Washington would use ihe guise ol lamina relief to Supply arms to the Threats and

ne becomes more seriouslyne coming monihi. Mong lalu may launch, tha Icmg-dBlsyedhe north to deflect military attention (rom tha farrtrsej-

Original document.

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