MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA BRIEF (DELETED) FOR 4 DECEMBER 1984.

Created: 12/4/1984

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

MIDDLE EAST/AFRICA SRII FROM: ONTENTS

IRAN-IRAQ: MILITARY

IRAN: ANTIREGIME ACTIVITY INCREASING

3. JQROAN-EGrPT-PLO: JOCKEYING FOR POSITION ON PEACEAIRE: MOBUTU'S PROBLEMS 9. IN BRIEFS 1. IRAN-IRAQ: MILITARY DEVELOPMENTS

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THE TANKER ATTACKED 8Y IRAQI AIRCRAFT NEAR KHARK ISLAND ESTERDAY WAS THE LARGEST THUS FAR IN THE GULF WAR. Tjjjt

IRAQI AIRCRAFTCO-TON. CYPRIOT-FLAG TANKER APPROXIMATELYILOMETERS SOUTH OF KHARK ISLAND. ThE EMPTY SHIP WAS HIT IN ThE ENGINEROOM. AND AT LEAST THREE CREWMEN ARE MUSING. THE STRIKE ISFIRST IRAQI ATTACKANKER NEAR KHARK SINCE OCTOBER,

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IRAQI AIRSTRIKES ARE UNLIKELY TO PUSHTHE COST OF SHIPPING AND INSURING IRAN'S OIL EXPORTS UNLESS SUSTAINEDIGH RATE. TWO ATTACKS IN OCTOBER SIMILAR TO THOSE YESTERDAY EFFECT ON RATES FOR CHARTERING ANONSURANCE.//

IRAN: ANTIREGiME ACTIVITY INCREASING

' EHRAN SEEMS TO BE GROWING INCREASINGLY CONCERNED ABOUT

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.. THE REPRESSION OFEGIME

OEMONSTRA-ICNS IN THE EASTERN IRANIAN CITY OF MASHHAD EARLY LAST MONTH LEFTEADOUNDED. SEVERAL RELATIVES OF GRAND

e? ltraconservaTIV! HOJOATIya society

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MERE ARRESTED FOR ORGANIZING THE DEMONSTRATIONS. WHICH

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MfrSHHATJ ABOUT THE TIME THE DEMONSTRATIONS WERE TAKINGNAPI F TO isrilffc QONI'S HE L. 3 IN CALMING THt

SITUATION INSTEAD. CCVI FO* ALL SHIITEI <

clergy to struggle againstmeini regime and condemned m

CLERICAL DOMINANCE OF THE GOVERNMENT AS

LAST YEAR, HAS RESUMED ITS ORGANIZATIONAL ACTS.^3

SENTIMENT. DEMONSTRATIONS ORGANIZED THERE BT THE HOJJATIYA.INu SPREAD ICKLY TC OTHER CIT3

//LAST MONTH'S DEMONSTRATIONS WERE HELO TO COMMEMORATE THE DEATH IN SEPTEMBER OF ANOTHER GRAND AYATOLLAH IN MASHHAD OPPOSED TH ?

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KHAMENEI'SVISIT SUGGESTS TEHRAN IS SERIOUSLY CONCERNED ABOUT THE THREA M| J

//THE HOJJATIYA SOCIETY PROBABLY HAS*RESUMED ITS ACTIVITYTRY TO BUILD SUPPORT IN ANTICIPATION OF THE POWER STRUGGLEFOLLOW KHOMEINI'S

3. JORDAN-EGYPT-PLO: JOCKEYING FOR POSITION ON PEACE

KING HUSSEIN.USED HIS ADDRESS TO EGYPT'S PARLIAMENT >TO REPEAT HISAOE AT THE PNC MEETING IN AMMAN LASTOINT JORDAN-PLO PEACE INITIATIVE BASED ON UNND ON PLO PARTICIPATION "ON AN ESUAl 8ASIS WITH OTHER PARTIES' ' AT A

UN-SPONSOREO PEACE CONFERENCE. PRESIDENT MUBARAK, IN HIS ANSWERING SPEECH. TERMED THE KING'SOSITIVE CONTR1 BUTT INDICATED HIS OWN PRIMARY GOAL IS TOORKABLE SOLUTION, f| H *> '

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MORE ACCEPTABLE TO THE ARABS THAN THE REAGAN INITIATIVE NSA-

AIRE: MOBUTU'S PROBLEMS

//MOBUTU WILL BE INAUGURATEDHIRD. SEVEN-YEAR TERMMID SIGNS THAT ZAIRE WILL FACE CONTINUED ECONOMIC PROBLEMS ANDSI0ENT ACTIVITY NEXT YEAR. SEVERAL HEADS OF STATE WILL BE PRESENT, INCLUDING ANGOLA'S DOS SANTOS, AND FRENCH PRESIDENT MITTERRAND WILLTATE VISIT ON FRIDAY. SECURITY tS TIGHT IN KINSHASA BECAUSEECENT REBEL ATTACK IN EASTERN SHABA ANO. CONCERN THAT LLBTAN^i'RA INEO DISSIDENTS MAY ATTEMPT TO DISRUPT THE

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IN BRIEFS

IN BRIEFS

//INTERNATIONAL PUBLICITY GIVEN TO THE REBEL ANO RECENT UNFOUNDED COUP RUMORS IN KINSHASA PROBABLYSYCHOLOGICAL LIFT TO ZAIRE'S MORIBUND OPPOSITION MOVEMENT. DISSIDENTS NOW MAY BE MORE LIKELY TO ATTEMPT TERRORIST ATTAC AGAINST ZAIRIAN TARGETS IN KINSHASA OR BRUSSELS. ALTHOUGH MO OGS SANTOS MAY HOLD INFORMAL. TALKS. RELATIONS BETWEENOOL. ANO THEY ARE UNLIKELY TO AGREE TOUMMITECURITY ISSUES. MOBUTU'S AGENDA DURING MITTERRAND'SO INCLUOE REQUESTS FOR INCREASED FRENCH AID AND SUPPORT FOR RESCHEDULING /AIRE'S DEBT AS WELL AS FRENCH POLICY TOWARD LIBYA.

AFRICA

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--SOUTH AFRICA CLAIMS EVIDENCE ANGOLA IS HELPING SWAPO PREPARE FOR ANNUAL RAINY SEASON INFILTRATION OF NAMIBIA . . RETORIA NOT LIKELY TO WITHDRAW REMAINING TROOPS FROM ANGOLA UNTIL LUANDA ACCEPTSCONTROL ARRANGEMENT INCLUDING JOINT PATROLS INSIDE ANQOCA.

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