YUGOSLAVIA: NEW REPUBLIC-ARMY CONFRONTATION BREWING

Created: 2/1/1991

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

YUGOSLAVIA) New RepublicCoRfrantalion Brewing

Croatian leaders have rejecied ihehour deadline,yesterday, lo surrender the republic defense minister fora military court. The republic Security Council insteadiry military officers who have engaged in "subversion" inCroatian Prime Minister yesterdayat the Armynew pressures, including military police patrols, thaitensions back to the brink of civil war. The republicinterior ministers reportedly went lo Sloveniahe federal Presidency yesterday hostedof republic presidents to try to revive talks. Thean attempt by Slovenia and Croatia to bar furtherin domestic^Dolitics, and Croatia's representativesof

aasal Ihe Army almost certainly never expected Croatia to hand over senior officials and appears tohowdown. If it believed ihe republic were again mobilizing reservists, the Army might try to seize Croatian leaders. Although most federal officials probably want lo avoid violence, Ihe Presidency's refusal to discuss Croatia's demands indicates it cannot be countedon to restrain the Army. Croatia probably will iry loash, but it will not surrender senior officials. If faced with new Army prcpanMionsforinterventioi Croatian leaders may opt for immediateB"B"

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