SENIOR EXECUTIVE INTELLIGENCE BRIEF

Created: 8/14/2000

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Table of Contents

Kust Aria

Tiy To Mur Potitive KectpooD

8

AMERICAS

May Try To Mar Positive Reception

Analytic Perspective

President Pastrana and most mainstream Colombians welcome President Clinton's visit to Cartagena onugust as recognition of tbe many challenges tbey face aridapstone to the closer partnership produced by Plan Colombia. Polls indicate that Colombians regard improved relations with Washington as Pastrana's greatest achieveone of the rare points on which there is consensus among Ibe major parties.

Undercurrents of Concern, Resentment

Many Colombians see the aid packageign that the US is willing to share responsibility for the drug problem. Nonetheless, tbe Pastrana arlmira'stration is sensitive to criticism lhat Plan Colombia emphasizes US coimtemarccities objectives at the expense of Colombia's fundamental socioeconomic needs.

Increasingly, Bogota is stressing social development initiatives embodied in Plan Colombia, especially with potential European donors,1

Some Colombians worry that aggressive. US-backed ccajnterdrug efforts will provoke greater violence by the guerrillas. This may tempt Pastrana lo give in to the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia's callalt to the spraying of coca fields as partease-fire deal.

In adctition, the guerrillas' past behavior suggests they may try to mar the President's visit with outbursts of propagandahow of military force elsewhere in the country, including attacks at counfcmarcotics bases bousing US citizens^

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Original document.

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