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INTEL CORP - FORM 8-K - EX-99.1 - January 18, 2013
Exhibit 99.1
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CFO Commentary on Fourth-Quarter and Full Year 2012 Results
Summary
The fourth quarter came in consistent with our expectations. For 2012, although our financial results were below our expectations entering the year, we launched leadership products in every major business segment and we extended our manufacturing leadership.
2012 revenue of $53.3B was down 1% from a year ago and below the expectations we had at the start of the year. Worldwide GDP growth was significantly less than we had thought entering the year and the PC market segment was impacted by the growth of tablets. Our PC Client Group revenue was down 3% from a year ago. The Data Center Group revenue grew 6% year over year as a richer mix of products and significant growth in the internet cloud segment of our business was partially offset by weakness in the enterprise server market segment. Gross margin for the year was 62.1%, at the top end of our historical gross margin range for the 3rd year in a row. Spending as a percent of revenue was up to 34.1 percent in 2012 as a result of increasing R&D investments across Ultrabooks, the data center, smartphones, tablets, and manufacturing. Operating profit was $14.6B and net income was $11.0B, with earnings per share of $2.13.
Fourth quarter revenue of $13.5B was down 3% year over year. Relative to historical seasonal growth in the fourth quarter, revenue was impacted by softness in PC demand and continued reduction of inventories across the supply chain as OEMs reduce inventory on older generation products. Gross margin dropped from the third quarter to 58% The drop from the third quarter was driven primarily by the aggressive tactical actions we took to reduce inventory levels and to redirect space and equipment to our 14nm process technology resulting in excess capacity charges. Our inventories decreased almost $600M from the third quarter as a result of these actions. Separately, we started production on our next generation micro-architecture product, code-named Haswell, which we expect to qualify for sale in the first quarter. This production prior to qualification for sale resulted in an increase in inventory write-offs. Operating income was $3.2B and net income was $2.5B, with earnings per share of $0.48.
On a GAAP basis, the full year 2012 results when compared to the full year 2011 results were the following:
• Revenue of $53.3B was down 1%, from $54.0B
• Gross margin of 62.1% was flat from 62.5%
• Operating income of $14.6B was down 16% from $17.5B
• Net income of $11.0B was down 15% from $12.9B
• Earnings per share of $2.13 was down 11% from $2.39
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On a GAAP basis, the fourth quarter 2012 results when compared to the fourth quarter from a year ago were the following:
• Revenue of $13.5B was down 3%, from $13.9B
• Gross margin of 58.0% was down 6.5 points from 64.5%
• Operating income of $3.2B was down 31% from $4.6B
• Net income of $2.5B was down 27% from $3.4B
• Earnings per share of $0.48 was down 25% from $0.64
As a result of the acquisitions of McAfee, Inc. and the Infineon wireless division in the first quarter of 2011, we continue to provide Non-GAAP financial information in addition to GAAP to provide additional visibility into operational results of the company. The Non-GAAP information below excludes the impact of amortization of acquisition-related intangibles, and the related income tax effect.
Full year 2012 vs. Full year 2011 Non-GAAP* Financial Comparison
• Gross margin of 63.2% was flat from 63.4%
• Operating income of $15.5B was down 15% from $18.2B
• Net income of $11.6B was down 14% from $13.5B
• Earnings per share of $2.24 was down 10% from $2.50
Q4’12 vs. Q4’11 Non-GAAP* Financial Comparison
• Gross margin of 59.0% was down 6.4 points from 65.4%
• Operating income of $3.4B was down 30% from $4.8B
• Net income of $2.6B was down 26% from $3.5B
• Earnings per share of $0.51 was down 24% from $0.67
Except as otherwise noted, the remainder of this document presents results and comparables on a GAAP basis.
Fourth Quarter 2012
Revenue
Revenue of $13.5B was flat sequentially and down 3% from a year ago. PC and Data Center volumes were down 3% when compared to the third quarter. Platform** average selling prices were up 4% when compared to the third quarter.
Intel Architecture Group fourth quarter revenue of $12.4B was down 1% sequentially and down 4% year over year:
*See the explanation of non-GAAP measures and the reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure on page 10
**PC Client Group and Data Center Group microprocessors and chipsets
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The Data Center Group had revenue of $2.8B, up 7% from the third quarter. Year over year, Data Center Group revenue was up 4%. Data Center volume was flat sequentially and down 1% from a year ago. Data Center platform average selling prices were up 8% sequentially and up 5% from a year ago.
The Software and Services Group had revenue of $636M, up 8% from the third quarter. Year over year, the Software and Services Group revenue was up 10%.
Gross Margin
Gross margin dollars were $7.8B, down $0.7B compared to the third quarter. Gross margin of 58.0% was 5.3 points lower than the third quarter and up 1 point when compared to the midpoint of the Outlook provided on October 16th.
Gross Margin Reconciliation: Q3’12 to Q4’12(63.3% to 58.0%, down 5.3 points)
[note: point attributions are approximate]
Gross Margin Reconciliation: Q4’12 Outlook to Q4’12 (57% +/- couple points to 58.0%, up 1 point)
[note: point attributions are approximate]
Gross Margin Reconciliation: Q4’11 to Q4’12 (64.5% to 58.0%, down 6.5 points)
When comparing to the fourth quarter from a year ago gross margin was down 6.5 points due to excess capacity charges, higher platform** unit costs, and higher platform** inventory write-offs, and lower platform** volume.
Spending
Spending for R&D and MG&A was $4.6B, flat to the third quarter and up ~$100M from the Outlook provided in October. The increase relative to Outlook is primarily driven by an increase in profit dependent spending and higher than expected spending on masks related to new product introductions. R&D and MG&A as a percentage of revenue was 34%, flat to the third quarter. Depreciation was $1.6B, in line with expectations.
Amortization of acquisition related intangibles was $75M, in line with expectations.
**PC Client Group and Data Center Group microprocessors and chipsets
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Other Income Statement Items
Gains and losses on equity investments and interest and other income was a net gain of $49M, lower than the $80M gain in the third quarter and lower than our Outlook of a $75M net gain.
The provision for taxes in the fourth quarter was at a 23.0% tax rate, down from our forecast of 27% on higher profits coming from lower tax jurisdictions.
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Items
Cash flow from operations in the fourth quarter was approximately $6.0B. On the balance sheet, total cash investments^^ ended the quarter at $18.2B, up $7.7B from the third quarter. During the fourth quarter, we issued approximately $6.2B in debt, paid approximately $1.1B in dividends, purchased $2.5B in capital assets, and repurchased $1.0B in stock. Total inventories were down $585M.
Other Items
The total number of employees was approximately flat from the third quarter at 105K.
Diluted shares outstanding decreased by 58M shares from the third quarter and decreased by 147M shares from the fourth quarter a year ago.
Full Year 2012
Revenue
Revenue of $53.3B was down 1% from a year ago. PC and Data Center Group volume was down 1% from a year ago. Platform** average selling prices were flat compared to 2011.
Intel Architecture group 2012 revenue of $49.4B was down 2% year over year:
The Software and Services Group 2012 revenue of $2.4B was up 27% year over year. The 2012 results include a full year of McAfee, Inc. revenue compared to only 10 months in the 2011 results.
Gross Margin
Gross margin dollars were $33.2B, down $0.6B from 2011. Gross margin of 62.1% was flat to 2011. Lower start-up costs and no Cougar Point impact were offset by excess capacity charges and higher platform** unit costs.
^^ Cash and cash equivalents, short-term investments, and marketable debt instruments included in trading assets
**PC Client Group and Data Center Group microprocessors and chipsets
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Spending
Spending for R&D and MG&A was $18.2B, up 14% from 2011 primarily as a result of increased investment in research and development. R&D and MG&A as a percentage of revenue was 34.1%, up approximately 4 points from 2011.
R&D spending was $10.1B, up 22% from 2011.
MG&A spending was $8.1B, up 5% from 2011.
Depreciation was $6.4B, up from $5.1B in 2011.
Amortization of acquisition related intangibles was $308M, up from $260M in 2011.
Other Income Statement Items
Gains and losses on equity investments and interest and other income was a net gain of $235M, lower than the $304M gain in 2011.
The effective tax rate for 2012 was 26.0%, down from 27.2% in 2011 on higher profits coming from lower tax jurisdictions.
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Items
Cash flow from operations in 2012 was approximately $18.9B. On the balance sheet, total cash investments^^ ended the year at $18.2B, up $3.3B from 2011. During 2012, we paid approximately $4.4B in dividends, purchased $11.0B in capital assets, repurchased $4.8B in stock, and issued $6.2B in debt. Total inventories were up approximately $600M from a year ago.
Other Items
We added approximately 5K employees in 2012, bringing the total number of employees to approximately 105K.
Q1 2013 Outlook
Intel’s Business Outlook for the first quarter does not include the effect of any business combinations, asset acquisitions, divestitures, or other investments that may be completed after January 17th. The mid-point of the forecast ranges will be referred to when making comparisons to specific periods.
Revenue
Revenue is expected to be $12.7B, plus or minus $500M in the first quarter. The midpoint of this range is down 6% from the fourth quarter. This decline is in line with the average seasonal decline for the first quarter.
^^ Cash and cash equivalents, short-term investments, and marketable debt instruments included in trading assets
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Gross Margin
Gross margin in the first quarter is expected to be 58%, plus or minus a couple points, flat from the fourth quarter.
Gross Margin Reconciliation: Q4’12 to Q1’13 Outlook (58.0% to 58% +/- a couple points)
[note: point attributions are approximate]
Spending
Spending for R&D and MG&A in the first quarter is expected to be approximately $4.6B, flat from the fourth quarter.
Depreciation is forecasted to be approximately $1.7B, up from the fourth quarter.
Amortization of acquisition-related intangibles is forecasted to be approximately $75M.
Other Income Statement Items
Gains and losses from equity investments and interest and other income are expected to be a net loss of approximately $50M , compared to a net gain of $49M in the fourth quarter.
The tax rate for the first quarter is expected to be 17% which includes the R&D tax credit for the first quarter as well as the retroactive credit for 2012.
2013 Outlook
Intel’s Business Outlook for full year 2013 does not include the effect of any business combinations, asset acquisitions, divestitures or other investments that may be completed after January 17th.
Revenue
Revenue for the year is expected to grow in the low single digits.
Gross Margin
Gross margin for the year is expected to be 60%, plus or minus a few points, down 2.1 points from 2012.
Gross Margin Reconciliation: 2012 to 2013 Outlook (62.1% to 60% +/- a few points)
[note: point attributions are approximate]
**PC Client Group and Data Center Group microprocessors and chipsets
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Spending
Spending for R&D and MG&A for the year is expected to be $18.9B, plus or minus $200M, 4% higher than 2012 due primarily to the full year impact of the increase to R&D investments made in 2012 and annual salary increases for 2013. We expect the number of employees ending 2013 to be flat to 2012.
R&D spending is expected to be approximately $10.7B, up 5% from 2012.
MG&A is expected to be approximately $8.3B, up 3% from 2012.
Amortization of acquisition-related intangibles is forecasted to be approximately $300M.
Depreciation is forecasted to be approximately $6.8B +/- $100M.
Other Income Statement Items
Gains and losses from equity investments and interest and other income are expected to be a net gain of approximately $100M.
The tax rate for 2013 is expected to be 25%. The tax rate for 2013 includes the R&D tax credit for 2013 as well as the retroactive R&D tax credit for 2012.
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Items
Capital spending for 2013 is forecasted to be $13.0B plus or minus $500M, $2.0B higher than 2012. The increase in capital spending is primarily driven by the start of construction of our 450mm development factory. The forecast also includes approximately $300M capitalization of interest on debt.
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Risk Factors
The above statements and any others in this document that refer to plans and expectations for the first quarter, the year and the future are forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Words such as “anticipates,” “expects,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,” “estimates,” “may,” “will,” “should” and their variations identify forward-looking statements. Statements that refer to or are based on projections, uncertain events or assumptions also identify forward-looking statements. Many factors could affect Intel’s actual results, and variances from Intel’s current expectations regarding such factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements. Intel presently considers the following to be the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the company’s expectations.
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A detailed discussion of these and other factors that could affect Intel’s results is included in Intel’s SEC filings, including the company’s most recent Form 10-Q and report on Form 10-K.
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