| 20110307300 | METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR IDENTIFYING AND THEN PROBABALISTICALLY PROJECTING AND AGGREGATING DIFFICULT-TO-PREDICT INDUSTRY OPERATING STATISTICS - A method and system of projecting at least one key operating statistic for a selectable business entity within that industry. Data about a business entity includes at least one key operating statistic and is presented to a plurality of users. Each of the users makes at least one projection of the key operating statistic. All of the projections thus created are aggregated into a single probabilistic expression that expresses not only a range of projected magnitudes of the key operating statistic but also the respective chances of the projected magnitudes' occurrences. The expression is preferably a cumulative probability density function (CDF). In this way, a variety of financial statistics is aggregated and presented to enable users to: isolate the statistic most germane to a company's prospects, project the statistic based on historical data, derive an ultimate projection of the statistic as a CDF that integrates the projections of multiple users. | 12-15-2011 |
