(ESTIMATED PUB DATE) CABLE TO WHITE HOUSE HYANNIS FROM CIA/OCI RE STOP OF REFUG

Created: 8/13/1961

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

I'HOTOCOI'IKD DUE TO TIIK DETERIORATION OK THE ORIGINAL.

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FROM I CIA/OCl

TO t WHITE HOUSE HYANNIS

IS PRELIMINARY CIA/OCI ANALYSIS OF EAST GERMAN RESTRICTIONS ON TRAVEL TO WEST BERLINS

ON J3 AUGUST THE EAST GERMAN REGINE ANNOUNCED AND PUT INTOERIES OF DECREES INTRODUCING SEVERE NEW CONTROL MEASURES DESlGEND TO STOP IMMEDIATELY THE FLOW OF REFUGEES TO WEST BERLIN AND WEST GERMANY. THESE STEPS WERE ANNOUNCED BY THE EAST GERMANS AS HAVING BEEN TAKEN IN RESPONSEROPOSAL BY THE WARSAW PACT NATIONS, PUBLISHED ONUGUST, WHICH IN EFFECT CALLED UPON THE EAST GERMAN REGIME TO INTRODUCE EFFECTIVE CONTROLS AROUND WEST BERLIN! XT IS HIGHLY UNUSUAL FOR THE WARSAW PACT TO DEVOTE ITS ATTENTION TO

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THE SPECIFIC DOMESTIC PROBLEMS OF EMBER NATION.

ACCORDING TO THE NEW DECREES SPECIAL POLICE PERMITS, OBTAINABLE FROM LOCAL POLICE OFFICES, WILL BE REQUIRED FOR ALL EAST GERMANS AND EAST BERLINERS WHO WANT TO GO TO WEST BERLIN AND THESE PERMITS HILL HAVE TO BE PRESENTED AT ONE OFPEC;FIED SECTOR CROSSING POINTS BETWEEN EAST AND WEST BERLIN. APPROMIXATELYERCENT OF THE EAST GERMAN REFUGEES IN RECENT WEEKS HAVE CROSSED INTO WEST BERLIN OVER THE SECTOR.BORDER. XT WAS ALSO DECREED THAT ALL EAST BERLINERS AND EAST GERMANS WORKING IN WEST BELIN COULD NO LONGER CONTINUE TO WORK THERE.

THE DECREES ARE VERY SPECIFIC IN MAKING CLEAR THAT THERE ARE NO CHANGES IN THE EXISTING REGULATIONS AFFECTING THE TRANSIT RIGHTS OF THE TMREE WESTERN POWERS BETWEEN WEST GERMANY AND EAST BERLIN, OF WEST GERMANS TRAVELLING BETWEEN WEST GERMANY AND WEST BERLIN, AND OF WEST GERMANS AND WEST BERLINERS TRAVELLING TO EAST BERLIN AND EAST GERMANY.

THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF THE NEW DECREES IS BOUND TO INCREASE THE ALREADY HIGH POPULAR TENSIONS IN EAST GERMANY WHICH ARE REFLECTED IN THE ABNORMALLY LARGE REFUGEE FIGURES FOR IX AUGUST OFND FOBUGUST OF. IF, AS SEEMS LIKELY,

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THE NEW CONTROLS ARE RIGOROUSLY ENFORCED, THE LIKELIHOOD IS SHARPLY INCREASED OF SPONTANEOUS OUTBREAKS IN EAST BERLIN AND EAST GERMANY OF LOCAL DISTURBANCES SUCH AS STRIKES, RIOTS AND ANTI-REGIME ACTIVITIES..

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Original document.

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