CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY: CONGO

Created: 10/27/1961

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Current Intelligence Weekly Summary

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INTELLIGENCE AGENCY

OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE

SECRET

CUaHEWT ihtblligenc3 weekly suhmaky

congo

onctobertheconditions for ratification of the cease-fire concluded ouctoberun and katangan forces. the exchange of prisoners has taken place without incident, and un and katangan forces are in process of rw-poaltloaing their forces as agreed.

pressed by premier adoula and the congo advisoryun officials in new york insisted that tshombd acknowledge: that tbe ceaso-flro agreement did con-travono oxlsting un resolutions on thehat ltilitary agreement without politicalhat it applied only to katanga;hat it in no waytbe congo's territorial limits as previouslyby the un. tbosoinduced leopoldville to withdraw its initialof the agreement. differences overhich gave tshomb* the right to defend himself from "external" attack and appeared to neutralize tho un forces in that event, seem to have been glossed over.

strains betweenand elisabotbville are unlikely to be substantially

lessened. adoula continues bent on bringing katanga to heel and appears to be working toew un mandate which would apsclflcally permit military action by un forces to end katanga's secession. on ctober, foreign minister boaboko argued to un officials that tbe caaae-flra strengthened tshombe' and that leopoldville would bare to take military actloo, since tbe adoulacould survive only ifwere brought back into the congo.

leopoldville haa only limited military capabilities, however, and would haveequipment and transport problems in any katanga invasion. successful action by leopoldville would require close support from un forces. pressuresew. mora "energetic" mandate for un forces in the congo sregrowing in the UN general assembly.

tshombe, under pressure from the un. aent two low-level emissaries toonctober toan economic and customs unionnion offorces with noon katanga's existenceeparata political entity.

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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY

reports indicate that Adoula gavelatalthough privately he nay have left the door open to further negotiations.

gree or confidence on Tshombe'ts part. He roportedly takes the attitude that Ifor the (IN Insistedighly centralisedKatanga would any, "Cos* and get us." Onctober, Tshombe's troops were reported restive,to discipline, and eager to renew tbe fight vlth UN forces,

Mile Tshonbe has not carried nut hts threat to take military action against tbe rebellious anti-Tshombe Saluba refugees, 0 of whom are camped on theof Ellsabethville, he has reserved the right to maintain order "by all means possible." ight Katanga-enforced rordon rings the camp, and no one is permitted to leave except those who agree to return home. Clashes between tbe Ba tubas and Katangan forces are frequent.

The Belgian Governmentreluctant to applyand financial sanctions against Tshorobe, for example by holding up tax payments by Union Minicre to the Katangan foreign Minister Spaak told Ambassador MacArthur that tbe Legal authority of theGovernment to take such steps would have to be studied. Spaak said he feared that such action would cause Tshorobe to nationalize all BelgianIn Katanga. Spaak claims that if the Belgian public should hold the government responsible for initiating an action that caused nationalization, thecould be "disastrous" for the government. Spaax arguedapprochement between Tshombo and Adoula could best bo promotedoderatenation or an individual with an understanding of Bantu.

Gizenga returned toctober, presumably emporary stay. Adoula and Glzengists in Leopoldville have continued to express concern over Gizenga's delay In returning. Leopoldvllle's suspicions that Gizenga may be planning new moves against lt wiLl be increased by the reports onctober that his long-time foe. Orientals Province head Jean Manzlkala, had been ousted and replaced by Gizengtst Simon LosaLa.

Lzengists in Leopoldville, neade'i by Interior Minister Gbenye, feared army leader General Mobutu would arrest and execute then and were considering withdrawing to Stanleyville. Gizenga'a success In posing Stanleyville againompeting center of power to Leopoldville wouldin large measure on the aid he could obtain from his outside supporters, the Soviet bloc and radical African and Arab mtates.

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