CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
APPROVED FOR HElfAS( DATE: IAN III?
THE CRISIS USSR/CUBA
PREPARED FOR THE EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL-
CI)BAH INTERNAL SITUATION
minary analysis ofovember photographythat assembly ofype aircraft continues at San Julian. Eleven aircraft were observed: eight BEAOLEs, seven of them trainers, are completely assembled except for engine cowlings; one BEAGLE bomber is complete except for engines; and another two BEAGLES are being assembled. One BEAGLE fuselage was also noted.
Twenty-two BEAGLE fuselage crates were scattered along tbe taxiway system and in tbe assembly area.
Nine BEAGLE fuselage crates are located at Holguin airfield. There ls no evidence that these crates areunpacked.
A fifth possible coastal defense cruise-missile site was detected west of Marie 1.
Yesterday, Cuban news media continued their complete silence on the Mikoyan mission to Cuba for the second day running. The French AFP news agency representative inquoted "informed sources" as saying that Mikoyan was expected to leave Havana for New York today. He reported that most observers believed he would return "practically
o had reacted violently to advice from Ulkoyan 'that he either give up theorong vacation. eeting ofwhich the Cuban premier attendedovemberof going to ceremonies on the anniversary of the Bolshevik revolution, Castro is reported to have said that it would be necessary to kill him before he would follow Mikoyan's advice and that, as far as he was concerned, the Soviet leader could get out of Cuba immediately.
which the BRATSK was being loaded, does not reveal any special containers or security measures indicative of the presence of nuclear weapons.
Eleven Soviet ships, carrying missiles and missile-related equipment, are not en route from Cuba to the USSR. Eight of the nine ships listed by Kuznetsov areotal ofanvas-covered missiles and missileas deck cargo. Two of these eight Soviet ships have given an ETA at Odessa ofovember. The ninth ship, listed by Kuznetsov. ALAPAEVSK, and two otherALMETEVSK and ALEKSANDROVSK, are carrying missile-related equipment.
The Soviet dry cargo ships CHERNYAKHOVSK and MICHURINSK, and the Soviet tanker LISICHANSK arrived in Cuban portsthe last three days. The LISICHANSK has apparentlyher cargo and departed already. Ten other Soviet dry cargo ships, four Soviet tankers, two Soviet passenger ships, and one East Gorman dry cargo ship are presently en route from the Bloc to Cuba. The passenger ships, GRUZIYA and POBEDA have normal passenger capacities of more, areotal ofassengers to Cuba, and it can be assumed that they aro scheduled toarger number of Soviet personnel to tbe USSR.
TOP SECR FT
continues to maintain silence on Mikoyan's talks with the Cuban leaders, except for noting that his recent tourisit to the Bay ofmarked by "an exceptionally friendly."
With the departure of the last ship carrying missiles and related equipment, Moscow radio is stressing that the USSR has carried out its obligations. It states that the time has come for the US to lift the quarantine and toublic statement on nonaggresslon and respect forritorial integrity.
Tbeighter aircraftaraed vith AA-2
capability against either veryvery low USflights.
The main threatlights over Cuba continue to be theAM sites, which cover almost tbe wholeand its approaches.
Tbesop speed of0 feetombat ceiling of0 feet. They are capable of climbing0 feet but can maintain that altitude for only inutes. Theange otautical miles.
s withissiles are not designed toan aircraft such aslying at altitudes0 feet. Toilot would be dependent on precise guidance by ground control, since bis plane is equipped with "range only" radar and does not, to our knowledge, have airborne Intercept radar. In the time available to him at or near maximum altitude, theilot, even with the best GCI control, would have little chance of locating tbe target and maneuvering into firing position.
The capability of MIG-2lCs to hitOlsUs is also poor, but would be somewhat improved byissiles. At very low levels, ground heat sources would tend to confuse the missile's homing system. Before or after the low-level runs of US aircraft, however, when they are at higher altitudes, tho MIG-2lCs would haveprospects ofit.
Our only evidence to date indicatesln Cuba have been operated solely by Soviet pilots. We have seen no evidence that Cuban pilots have been at tbe controls of these aircraft over Cuba, although some may ben the Soviet Union.
ANNEX 6 AIRCRAFT IN LATIN AMERICA
6 was developed during World War IIow-level attack bomber. It compares favorably in terms of bomb load and combat radius with the 6iston-engine aircraft, however, and It cannot operate at either the altitude or speed of the twin-jet Soviet bomber.
Comparative statistics on the two aircraft follow:
A total6 aircraft are in the air forces of Latin American countries, including Cuba: