ESTIMATED NUMBER, VALUE, AND DISTRIBUTION OF EXPORTS OF SOVIET AIRCRAFT
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Office of Research and Kepom
Sumnury and Conclusions ,
I, Estimated Number of Aircraft Exported from theCountries Within ihe Sino-Soviet5
I. Estimated Number of Aircraft Exported Irom the USSR
lo Countries. Outride the Sino-Sovtri5
1. Estimated Value of Aircraft, Including faitial Spares.
Exported from the USSR to Countries Within the Stncj-
Soviet Bloc.5 Through2
4. Estimated Value of Aircraft, Including Initial Spares.
Exported from the USSR to Countries Outside5 Throughi
ESTIMATE" NUMBER. VALUE. AND DISTRIBUTION
of exports or soviMt aIrcraft
Summary and Conclusion*
Analysis of all available tnJo.rn.lum indicates (hat5 and ihr first haltZoviet-builtere from (ha USSR. countrieshe Sino Soviet Blot are eallmated to Have receivedf these aircraft.i0 countries octs.d. in. Bloc are estimatedveircraft, t Thesenclude both military and noomilitary aircraft
The 'itliMUd value of Soviet .built aircraft and initial (pares exported from .he USSR5 andi i. Sl.9billlon.lt The value of ine aircraft exported to countries wtthui theloc ia estimated lo beillion. TIi aad the value of the aircraft exported to countries outaid. thestimated to0 million. I
Tho value ol the export. baaed on th. eallmated cost of producingircraft and includes the cost of the basic airframes, engines, electronics, .irmament. accessories, and propellers. Initial aparea are loose spare part-manufactured in conjunction with the aircraft and provide the basic stock or, hand with the aircraft in depot, and In the pipeline. It Is assumed that all ex. porting countries received these initial spares al the time of procurement* aircraft. for without the Initial spares the no* aircraft would be of limned value lo lhe procuring country.
For the sake of consistency and lo alio* for uniform comparisons, est!.are used throughouteport. In iw few instances (orr. available for tbe exported aircraft,rices ar. pret.nted in tbe footnotes ol (he rice, are considered inopm.nl Of th. methodology lor estimating th. ce.l. ol production men. noted above and are discussed more thoroughly in the methodology. II
aallnuues and conclusions In this report represent ihc besttht. Office a.uly
For descriptions and Illustration. Ol all Sovlel aircraftvp-rT set fovce U.
Th. estimated number ol Soviet.builtported to countries within lhe lllor is shown in Appendix A. Table I. p. J, below
estimated number of Soviet-built aircraft exported to count netthe Bloc is shown In Appendix A. Tableelow
The dollar values in thie report are expressed in term-1 US dollar. II! aied value of Soviel-built aircraft exported to countries wiihi* the Bloc is shown in. below
I Thevalue al Soviet-butIt aircrafto countries outside ihc Bloc is shown in Appendix A.elow II Tor mcthodologr- see Appendixelow
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I. Number, of Aircraft Exported
To determine th* exports of Soviet aircraft5 through cue lint half, ananxTrslswaimailelor each -ecipienl country by year.
defect"'- of oflictali of the prn.iih, countries and o> the USSR.
Air Order of Battle data. un<la.aiti*<imaaaitne articles reiated
of CIA. DtS UU. hmv. KkV
Att ma..oax*lump:.on. baled on the known
production of aircraft i. determine what countryivan aircraft. For example, becauie Ciecho.lovakia wa.lea production of Crate air-celt InCrate aircraft received by ih. military and civil service, ofSurned to have been .uoolied from indiecnouiof Crate aircraft
IV. r-ier of Battle supplied joimly by the US An Force and th. Navy. Thee. of Battle data are supplemented L, other .ifitlfMam laleipiilioe -hen ponible in order lo improve the accuracy of the fiiimitr
I Value ol Aircraft Exported
Becauie ofdeanh of accural, information regarding th. "contract value- of export, of Soviet aircraft and because of tha practice ol th. USSR of .givingble pr.ee. and term, to und.rd..eloped countries, thcd in Ihia report concerning ih. value of lb* exported aircraftimited coai of the USSR lo produce the exported aircraft
Th. methodology forth. (MI of production of Sovietit explained in detail in source US/ In brief th. co.ti of thederivednmates supplied by US aircraft companies regaining-ouldhemroduce .elected Sonet aiilrames using Sovi.i The WW. ofar. developed from budget and
contract information obta>oed from th. USAJ Anommand and US aircraft companle*.
Similar techniques were used to ileieimine the costs of the airframerooul.ion equipment. .nn.iw.nl..and tnitial spar-i In corns-Ming the cost, of th. USSR to produce aircraft, thetor. were usedmlne the co.ia of each model ol aircraft byplant, taking Into con.ideration the .Keel of the Laming curve, which,eneral rule, reduce, tbe cost, of production of th. airframeach nm. thai production ia doubled.
To determine th* value of the aircraft exported, the nuinbet oi umti of each model ofo have been expoundiven year was
APPKNDIX OURCE REFERENCES
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