ESTIMATED NUMBER, VALUE, AND DISTRIBUTION OF EXPORTS OF SOVIET AIRCRAFT 1955 TH

Created: 10/17/1962

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

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ESTIMATED NUMBER, VALUE, AND DISTRIBUTION OF EXPORTS OF SOVIET AIRCRAFT

HROUGH

CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Office of Research and Kepom

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TENTS

Sumnury and Conclusions ,

Append!

AppendixTables

App-endix

Appendixin lhtclltget.ee

AppendixReferences

Tables

i

I, Estimated Number of Aircraft Exported from theCountries Within ihe Sino-Soviet5

I. Estimated Number of Aircraft Exported Irom the USSR

lo Countries. Outride the Sino-Sovtri5

1. Estimated Value of Aircraft, Including faitial Spares.

Exported from the USSR to Countries Within the Stncj-

Soviet Bloc.5 Through2

4. Estimated Value of Aircraft, Including Initial Spares.

Exported from the USSR to Countries Outside5 Throughi

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ESTIMATE" NUMBER. VALUE. AND DISTRIBUTION

of exports or soviMt aIrcraft

THROUGH

Summary and Conclusion*

Analysis of all available tnJo.rn.lum indicates (hat5 and ihr first haltZoviet-builtere from (ha USSR. countrieshe Sino Soviet Blot are eallmated to Have receivedf these aircraft.i0 countries octs.d. in. Bloc are estimatedveircraft, t Thesenclude both military and noomilitary aircraft

The 'itliMUd value of Soviet .built aircraft and initial (pares exported from .he USSR5 andi i. Sl.9billlon.lt The value of ine aircraft exported to countries wtthui theloc ia estimated lo beillion. TIi aad the value of the aircraft exported to countries outaid. thestimated to0 million. I

Tho value ol the export. baaed on th. eallmated cost of producingircraft and includes the cost of the basic airframes, engines, electronics, .irmament. accessories, and propellers. Initial aparea are loose spare part-manufactured in conjunction with the aircraft and provide the basic stock or, hand with the aircraft in depot, and In the pipeline. It Is assumed that all ex. porting countries received these initial spares al the time of procurement* aircraft. for without the Initial spares the no* aircraft would be of limned value lo lhe procuring country.

For the sake of consistency and lo alio* for uniform comparisons, est!.are used throughouteport. In iw few instances (orr. available for tbe exported aircraft,rices ar. pret.nted in tbe footnotes ol (he rice, are considered inopm.nl Of th. methodology lor estimating th. ce.l. ol production men. noted above and are discussed more thoroughly in the methodology. II

aallnuues and conclusions In this report represent ihc besttht. Office a.uly

For descriptions and Illustration. Ol all Sovlel aircraftvp-rT set fovce U.

Th. estimated number ol Soviet.builtported to countries within lhe lllor is shown in Appendix A. Table I. p. J, below

estimated number of Soviet-built aircraft exported to count netthe Bloc is shown In Appendix A. Tableelow

The dollar values in thie report are expressed in term-1 US dollar. II! aied value of Soviel-built aircraft exported to countries wiihi* the Bloc is shown in. below

I Thevalue al Soviet-butIt aircrafto countries outside ihc Bloc is shown in Appendix A.elow II Tor mcthodologr- see Appendixelow

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AI'PENDIX n

METHODOLOGY

I. Number, of Aircraft Exported

To determine th* exports of Soviet aircraft5 through cue lint half, ananxTrslswaimailelor each -ecipienl country by year.

defect"'- of oflictali of the prn.iih, countries and o> the USSR.

Air Order of Battle data. un<la.aiti*<imaaaitne articles reiated

of CIA. DtS UU. hmv. KkV

Att ma..oax*lump:.on. baled on the known

production of aircraft i. determine what countryivan aircraft. For example, becauie Ciecho.lovakia wa.lea production of Crate air-celt InCrate aircraft received by ih. military and civil service, ofSurned to have been .uoolied from indiecnouiof Crate aircraft

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IV. r-ier of Battle supplied joimly by the US An Force and th. Navy. Thee. of Battle data are supplemented L, other .ifitlfMam laleipiilioe -hen ponible in order lo improve the accuracy of the fiiimitr

I Value ol Aircraft Exported

Becauie ofdeanh of accural, information regarding th. "contract value- of export, of Soviet aircraft and because of tha practice ol th. USSR of .givingble pr.ee. and term, to und.rd..eloped countries, thcd in Ihia report concerning ih. value of lb* exported aircraftimited coai of the USSR lo produce the exported aircraft

Th. methodology forth. (MI of production of Sovietit explained in detail in source US/ In brief th. co.ti of thederivednmates supplied by US aircraft companies regaining-ouldhemroduce .elected Sonet aiilrames using Sovi.i The WW. ofar. developed from budget and

contract information obta>oed from th. USAJ Anommand and US aircraft companle*.

Similar techniques were used to ileieimine the costs of the airframerooul.ion equipment. .nn.iw.nl..and tnitial spar-i In corns-Ming the cost, of th. USSR to produce aircraft, thetor. were usedmlne the co.ia of each model ol aircraft byplant, taking Into con.ideration the .Keel of the Laming curve, which,eneral rule, reduce, tbe cost, of production of th. airframeach nm. thai production ia doubled.

To determine th* value of the aircraft exported, the nuinbet oi umti of each model ofo have been expoundiven year was

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APPKNDIX OURCE REFERENCES

Evaluations, following *he classification entry and designated "Eval. havo the following significance:

Source ol

Doe.onfirmed by other tourcti

ompletely. Probably true

sually. Possibly crue

airly- Doubtful

DNot uauatly- Probably falsa

oi- Cannot bo Judged

annot be

"DoewmoftUry" refera lo original document* of foreign or translation* of such document*taif officer: or

information attracted from auch document*taff officer, all of which may tarry the field evaluation "Documentary. "

Evaluations not otherwise designated are those appearing on tne cited document; Ihoae designated "RR" arc by the author of tbis report. No "RR" evaluation ll given when the author BfreM* with the evaluation on the cited document.

Original document.

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