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INFORMATION REPORT|
TEiEGRAM:
INTILUOENCI AGENCY
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COMMITTEE IS ENGAGEDTUDY OF THE PRESENT SITUATION EN SOUTH VIETNAM AND MAKING PLANS FOR ITS IMPROVEMENT.
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A COMPLETE IMPASSE ANO SOMETHING MUST HAPPEN SOON. IF DIEM SHOULD DIE SUDDENLY, THE RESULT WOULD BE CHAOS, OUT OF WHICH THE COMMUNISTS WOULD EMERGE AS THE ONLY BENEFICIARIES. DIEM REMAINS IN POWER ONLY AS THE RESULT Cf AMERICAN MILITARY SUPPORT, WITHOUT WHICH HE WOULD BE COMPLETELY LOST. THE DlEM GOVERNMENT IS WORSE THAN IMPOSSIBLE. THERE ARE
A NUMBER OF GROUPS IN THE COUNTRY, SUCH AS THE HOA HAO AND THE CAO DAI, THAT ARE COMPLETELY OPPOSED TO COMMUNISM BUT CANNOT POSSIBLY SUPPORT THE PRESENT REGIME, WHEREAS THEY COULD SUPPORT SOME OTHER NATIONALIST TYPE OF GOVERNMENT. PRESIDENT DIEM
ISECENT AND HONORABLE MAN, BUT NGO DINH NHU AND HIS WIFE MUST BE ELIMINATED) WITHOUT THEM, IT WOULD BE POSSIBLE
TO RE-ORIENT DIEM. .
HE STRATEGIC HAMLET PROGRAM IS HIGHLY DANGEROUS BECAUSE, ALTHOUGH THE AMERICANS AND THE GOVERNMENT OF VIETNAM ARE EITHER
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-CF CR. UNWILLING TO FACE IT, THE STRATEGIC HAMLETS ARE HEAVILY INFILTRATED WITH VIETNAMESE COMMUNISTSHOSE PRESENCE WILL MAKE ITSELF KNOWN IN DUE COURSE. THE REPU5LICAN YOUTH MOVEMENT ISONG SERIES OF MEETINGS AND IS COMPLETELY LACKING IN DEPTM AS AN ORGANIZATION; ITUPERFICIAL VENEER, GOING THROUGH VARIOUS FRUITLESS MOTIONS. THE PRINCIPAL CRITERION FOR SELECTION OF PROVINCIAL AND DISTRICT LEADERS IS PERSONAL OBEDIENCE TO THE REGIME; COMPETENCE IS ONLY AN AFTERTHOUGHT.
F THE SITUATION CONTINUES IN ITS PRESENT VEIN, THERE WILLENEWED VC OFFENSIVEARGER SCALE SOON AFTER THE ONSET OF THE RAINY SEASON, WHEN BAD WEATHER REOUCES THE EFFECTIVENESS OF HELICOPTERS AND AIR CAPABILITY IN GENERAL. THIS WILL BEGIN NEAR THE SAIGON AREA, ANO, AT THE SAME TIME THE VC WITHIN THE STRATEGIC HAMLETS WILL GO INTO ACTION.
CINCPAC PACFLT ARPAC PACAF 9TH FIELD STATION 2ND AIR OlVlSION.
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Original document.
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