REVIEW OF INSURGENCY PROBLEMS
This publicationeriodic review of internal socurity in underdeveloped countries where therehreat from Communist-supported insurgency.
CONTENTS
Thailand. Peru. . .
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Office of Current6
INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM
Review of Insurgency Problems 1. Thailand
Insurgency in the northeast is spreading.
lo"unon provinces now rival Nakhon Ph"aiiom7 neretoiore the center of Communist subvei in intensity of insurgent activity.
Nakhon Phanom Province had only oneand one assassination during this period. Nakhon. on the other hand, there were atarmed clashes between police'and Communistsassassinations-, jji Ubon Province there wasactivity, withlashes andattacks policemen Inwr, pnikilled and three
2. Peru
Tho Peruvian Government's recent successes against guerrillas of the Movement of the Revolutionary Left (MIR) has caused serious disarray in the MIR organization. Insurgency is now so limited that most of the army troops have returned to their^arracRsT The MIR will undoubtedly have to goengthy periodnization before it can again operate effectively.
The back of the guerrilla effort in central Peru was broken during December and January by the death of at least three top leaders. This group was the first to initiate hostilities, in early
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The army decimated the MIR organization in southern Peru last October killing national MIR chief Luis de la Puente Uceda in the process. The remaining groupsguerrilla band in northern Peru, an urbanmilitia in Lima, and the self-styled Army of National Liberation (ELN) in Apurimac and Ayacuchoshown little capability for serious insurgent activity.
MIR guerrillas in the north reportedly have been ordered to return to their homes, and their leaders, Elio Portocarrero and Gonzalo Fernandez Gasco, may have fled to Ecuador or been killed. Recent press reports from Lima state that ELN chief Hector Bejar has been apprehended by the police. Also, there have been indications that ELN guerrillas are fighting among themselves and may be breaking up.
Five small homemade bombs detonated in Lima the night ofebruary caused minimal damage and no serious injury. Handbills scattered at the bombing sites proclaimed the actions to be protests against the jailing of widows of MIR guerrilla leaders Guillermo Lobaton, Maximo Velando, and Luis de la Puente. Eight sticks of dynamiteusewere discovered onebruary in the garden of the Colombian Embassy residence, but were safely removed by police. The bombings appear to be the work of MIR, ELN, and/or Trotskyist terrorists, while the dynamite affair may be linked to the death of Colombian guerrilla leader Camilo Torres.
With the insurgency problem well underhe.pq^rnment n hpncentratemTrcps and attentionully on ^ofto-cc^icmjj^rgJ'orjiLaiKi .flRvel.opaiejil-^jjr-Qgranis There ossibility, however, that Peru mayull-blown cabinet crisis when the Congress reconvenes in mid-March. Opposition congressmen, who dominate the legislative body, are threatening censure of the minister of education, and the cabinet has served notice publicly that if this occurs it will resign en masse. Frequent congressional censure of cabinet ministers during President Belaunde's administration has been adopted by the opposition APRA party as the primary means of political attack on the government.
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The tactic has succeeded In impeding governmentand efficiency to the point that the frustrated President reportedly is now considering appointmentilitary cabinet. This would probably achieve tho desired effect of intimidating the obstructive Congress.
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Original document.
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