DERIVATION OF QUARTERLY RATES OF GROWTH OF IMPORTANT INDUSTRIAL ITEMS (WEEKLY S

Created: 11/25/1966

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

HISTORICAL REVIEW PROGRAM

AS.I

j

1 - 'DorlTBtion of Quarterly Rates of Growth of Important Industrial Items

(Weekly Summary-of flQ October)

*y

tnooe appearing in the plan fulfillment report at ine cm 01 f the year (Pravda,. But for purposes of analysingperformance during the third quarter alone the cumulative data In tbefulfillment report must be adjusted to exclude production

tho first tvo quarters of the

1; Ac Indicated by the column headingshe periods shovn relateto the corresponding periods Soviet reporting of quarterly Industrial-production is cumulative from tho beginning of the year, and consequently the ercentage Increases shovn in the -table for the first half0 correspond. with those appearing in the plan fulfillment report at the end of the sec aad quarter of the year (Pravda,. trial performance during the third quarter

2. This adjustment is made by subtracting from cumulative productionhe first three quarters of the year (at reported in Pravda,he production reported in July for the flrot half of the year. Tbe sames also performed on5 data, and production in the third quarter of the tvo consecutive years is compared. Item for Item, to derive the appropriate percentage chances. This Incremental measure is for more sensitive to changes In Industrial performance that occur during the third quarter than la theative total for the flrot throe quarters.

3. We trace belov, as an, the steps taken to derive thefor the production of chemical equipment ln the third quarter6 ,tho third quarter

. It. The Soviet press reported production of chemical equipment Inillion rubles during the first three quartersn Increase of $over the corresponding three quarters of -k'J"

ifumulative production figureill ion originally reported for first three quarters5 on

basic6 information:m. r. ra. r.

similar adjustment if necessary, for cumulative production

figureillion rubles originally reported for first half J-r'.

cumulative production for first half of year from cumu-

lative production for first three quarters of year:

Cusulatlve production, 3rdn. r. r.

Cumulative production, 1stin. r. } a. r.

Third-quarterm. r. - r.

d. Divide third-quarter lncrcxoni6 by third-quarter incrementnd round to nearest Toll percent:

ercent increase.

. r.

Original document.

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