LATIN AMERICA BRIEF (DELETED) FOR 29 OCTOBER 1993.

Created: 10/29/1993

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

3

- LATIN AMERICA

CONTENTS

CTOBER

YESTERDAY TOLD THE UN HE WOULD CONVOKE THE LEGISLATURE TO PASS AN AMNESTY LAH AS SOON AS MILITARY AND POLICE LEADERS RESIGN. HE ALSO URGED PRIME MINISTER MALVAL TO RETAIN HIS POST. MALVAL LATER ANNOUNCED THAT HE WOULD STAY ON, BUT ARISTIDE'S TNFIlTLtTY lift6.

DISCOURAGED HIS BACKERS IN HAITI

COMMENT: ARISTIDE'S POSITION ON AMNESTY HAS REINFORCED THE STRONGLY HELD VIEU OF MANY IN THE MILITARY THAT THE EXILED PRESIDENT IS INTERESTED MAINLY IN REVENGE AGAINST THE INSTITUTION THAT CL'STED HIM. SOLDIERS ALMOST CERTAINLY HILL SEE HIS LATEST TERMS FOR AN AMNESTY LAH AS A BLUFF. MALVAL HAS SEESAWED ON THE ISSUE OF RESIGNATION, AND AN INCREASE IN VIOLENCEUARREL HITH ARISTIDE PROBABLY UOULD PROMPT HIM TO REVERSE HIS DECISION,

MILITARY MORE CONFIDENT

CEDRAS AND FRANCOIS APPARENTLY BELIEVE THAT FOREIGN MILITARY INTERVENTION IS UNLIKELY AS LDNG AS THEY MAINTAIN ORDER AND THAT GROWING REGIONAL CRITICISM OF THE EMBARGO AND ITS EFFECT ON THE POPULACE HILL FORCE THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY TO COMPROMISE. THEY