LATIN AMERICA BRIEF (DELETED) FOR 15 OCTOBER 1993.

Created: 10/15/1993

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LATIN AMERICA

CTOBER

1. HAITI: DEVELOPMENTS

1. HAITI: DEVELOPMENTS SITUATION IN PORT-AU-PRINCf . -

POLITICAL VIOLENCE OF ARMED CIVILIANS

IS YESTERDAY. MALARY, APPOINTED BY PRESIDENT ARISTIDE TO PRIME MINISTER MALVAL'S TRANSITIONAL HAS THE PRINCIPAL AUTHOR OP AN AMNESTY LAH THAT HAS BEEH PRESENTED TO THE LEGISLATURE. RIGHTIST ARE DEMANDIHG THE DEPARTURE OF THE UN CIVILIAN MISSION AS HELL AS MALVAL'S RESIGNATION, ACCOROING TO PRESS REPORTS. YESTERDAY THEY ASKED HAITIANS TO REFUSE SERVICE, FUEL, OR TRANSPORTATION TO UN PERSONNEL. POLICE CHIEF FRANCOIS HAS PUBLICLY REPEATED HIS DETERMINATION TO STAY IN HAITI.

REPORTS FRANCO IS ANO COMPANY COMMANDER! WIT^TrEPARED FOR RENEWED UN SANCTIONS.

COMMENT: RIGHTWING EXTREMISTS ALMOST CERTAINLY HOPE TO RAISE THE RISKS THAT FACE THE PLANNED UN MISSION IN ORDER TO PERSUADE THE US

AND THE UN TO BACK AWAV FROM ARISTIDE. THE MILITARY AND THE UGHT PROBABLY HOPE THE ASSASSINATION AND OTHER ACTS OF T IMI DATICN WILL PROMPT MALVAL TO RESIGN IMMEDIATELY. HE PROBABLY WILL STEP DUWN SOON UNLESS THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY OFFERS TO PROTECT HIS GOVERNMENT. IN ADDITION, THE MILITARY AND THE RIGHT PROBABLY BELIEVE VIOLENCE HILL LEAD ARISTIDE TO DEFER HIS RETURN. THE RIGHT MAY ALSO HOPE TO EXPLOIT THE MOUNTING VIOLENCE TO SEIZE POWER.

MILITARY RESISTANCE TO UN PLANS

ARISTIDE WILL NOT RETURN.

FAJ

[SES AN

AMNESTY LAW. ARISTIDE OMINEE FOR COMMANDER IN CHIEF TO THE LEGISLATURE FOR CONFIRMATION, AND THE UH LETS CEDRAS APPROVE THE STATUS OF rUS^ONAG*EEMENT AN0 ENSURES THAT UN TROOPS CARRY ONLY SIDEARMS.

ARISTIDE.

CONDITIONS ALMOST CERTAINLY ARE UNACCEPTABLE TO

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