LATIN AMERICA BRIEF (DELETED) FOR 13 JULY 1993.

Created: 7/13/1993

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

GENERAL CEDRAS IS TRYING TO STAY OUT OF THE STRUGGLE BETWEEN PRO- ANDSTIDE FACTIONS IN THE LEGISLATURE. AND HIS OFFICERS ARE ASSURING THEIR TROOPS THAT PRESIDENT AfllSTIJjj MILL SCUTTLE THE GOVERNOR'S ISLAHO AGREEMEHT AHD STAY IH EXILE. 0 ^

NOT

CCDRAS RECENTLY TOLDR1ST IDE LEGISLATORS THAT HE HILL INTERCEDE ON THEIR BEHALF IH THE DISPUTE OVER COHTtOL OF THE LEGISLATURE--OHE OF THE ISSUES TO BE ADDRESSED AT TALKS IN HEM YORK

MJCSEMAJORS MHO

SINCE AGREED TO STEP ASIDE UNTIL a

MILITARY LEADERS ARE REMINDING TROOPS OF THE IMPORTANCE OFjpJ|^BpB^^

THAT HE MILL EVENTUALLY SABOTAGE THE ACCORD. HARDLINER CHIEF OF STAFF BlAMBY RECEHTLV SAID THAT ARISTIDE IS SAFER AND MORE COMFORTABLE IN EXILE AND HILL MAKE NEU. UNREASONABLE DEMANDS TO AVOID RETURNING TO HAITI. POLICE CHIEF FRANCOIS. MHO CLAIMS TO SUPPORT THE ACCORD. IS TELLIHG ENLISTED MEH THE SETTLEMENT IS GO -

RECONCI ITT^WtTtohmISSION DETERMINES THEIR STATUS* THIS HOULD IMPROVE THE CHAHCES UICK RATIFICATION OFEM PRIME MINISTER.

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COMMENTt CEDRAS PROBABLV HANTS TO STAY ON GOOD TERMS HITH THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY AND APPARENTLY IS TRYING TO HELP RESOLVE THE IMPASSE IN THE LEGISLATURE. HIS CQHMITMEMT PROBABLY HILL WEAKEN. HOUEVER. IF UN SANCTIOHS ARE SUSPEHDEO OR IF MORE OILND THE MILITARY IS LIKELY TO CRACK DOHH OH ANY LARGE PRO-ARISTIDE DEMONSTRATIONS. OTHER OFFICERS PROBABLY ARE RELUCTANT TO STEP DOHN. AND SUCH HARDLINERS AS BIAMBY AND FRANCOIS ALMOST CERTAINLY HILL LOOK FOR HAYS TO STYMIE THE ACCORD ANO TO BLAME ARISTIDE OR HIS SUPPORTERS. THE ENLISTED MEN HUj^GROH INCREASINGLY NERVOUS AS ARISTIDE'S RETURN SEEMS NEARER.

Original document.

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