CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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THIS IS AN INFORMATION REPORT.
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NORTH VIETNAM
NO.
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among intellectuals in north vietnam and north vietnamese premier's determination to continue the war.
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TO FULFILL THEIR RESPONSIBILITIES.
B. AIR RAIDS HAVE DEMORALIZED THE PEOPLE IN CERTAIN AREAS, PARTICULARLY WHEN STEEL PELLET BOMBS WERE USED, SINCE THEY TEND TO "MAIM HORRIBLY- RATHER THAN KILL. HOWEVER, EVEN AN INCREASE IN BOMBING WOULD NOT SUCCEED IN SHAKING NORTH VIETNAMESE FANATICISM UNLESS THE TOP LEADERS WERE ELIMINATED. SUCH AN EVENT IS NOT LIKELY, SINCE THE LEADERS ARE NOT CONCENTRATED IN ONE SPOT.
NUMBERS OF POLITICALTHROUGHOUT THE COUNTRY, THE PEOPLENOT APPEAR TO BE AS CONCERNED WITH IDEOLOGY ASPROBLEM OF FIGHTING THE WAR. THE NORTHNOT APPEAR TO BE RABID COMMUNISTS IN TERMS OFREVOLUTION OR STALINIST CONCEPTS. VIETNAMESE CONDEMNED THE CHINESE INFLUENCE ONAND EXPRESSED FEAR THAT COMMUNISI CHINA WOULDOCCUPY THEIR COUNTRY. NORTH VIETNAMESECHARACTERIZED BY FANATICAL PRIDE, WHICH ISEVEN IN CUBA OR CHINA.
NORTH VIETNAMESE DO NOT APPEAR TO CONSIDER
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CONSIDERED NORTH VIETNAM DEFEATED. PHAM ALSO COMMENTED
THAT THE POSITION OF THE NATIONAL FRONT FOR THE LIBERATION OF SOUTH VIETNAM HAD IMPROVED.
IN RURAL AREAS,ANATIC MIMIMftVn
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DETERMINATION TO PURSUE THE WAR TO ITS ULTIMATE CONCLUSION, THERE ARE DISCONTENTED ELEMENTS IN THE CITIES, ESPECIALLY AMONG INTELLECTUALS WHO HAVE STUDIED ABROAD. THEY WANT THE GOVERNING REGIME TOOLUTION TO THE WAR THROUGH NEGOTIATION SO THAT THEIR COUNTRY CAN BE RECONSTRUCTED AND THE PEOPLE CANETTER LIFE. SEVERAL CHEMISTS, DOCTORS, AND ENGINEERS SAID THAT THE WAR WAS LEADING NOWHERE AND IF CONTINUED WOULD "BLEED NORTH VIETNAM WHITE." THEY THOUGHT THAT THE PRESIDIUM OF THE NORTH VIETNAMESE COMMUNIST PARTY, WHICH IS STAFFED WITH PARTY ELDERS, SHOULD BE REJUVENATED. SEVERAL SENIOR MILITARY OFFICERSUICK AND COMPLETE MODERNIZATION OF THE COUNTRY WAS NECESSARY BUT THAT PROGRESS WOULD BE SLOW AS LONG AS THE WAR CONTINUED. HOWEVER, THEY INDICATED NO SIGN OF WEAKENING AND CONTINUED
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VAN DONG STATED IN OCTOBER7 THAT NORTH VIETNAM WOULD NOT NEGOTIATE UNTIL MILITARY OPERATIONS AGAINST IT WERE ENDED AND WOULD NEVER NEGOTIATE WITH AN ENEMY WHICH CONSIDERED NORTH VIETNAM DEFEATED.
1 THE NORTH VIETNAMESE SEEM DETERMINED TO CONTINUE
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WAR| EVEN THOUGH THEY ARE NOT ARDENT COMMUNISTS.
HOWEVER, INTELLECTUALS WHO HAVE STUDIED ABROADEGOTIATED SETTLEMENT IN ORDER TO RECONSTRUCT THEIR
COUNTRY. SOME MILITARY OFFICERS WOULD LIKE THE WAR TO
END FOR THE SAME REASON, BUT THEY_CONTINUE TO FAITH-FULFILL THEIR DUTIES. END
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VIETNAMESE PREMIERHAT IT WOULD BE IMPOSSIBLE FOR NORTH VIETNAM TO ACCEPT AMERICAN NEGOTIATION PROPOSALS UNLESS MILITARY OPERATIONS AGAINST NORTH VIETNAM WERE HALTED FIRST. THE PREMIER SAID NORTH VIETNAM WOULD NEVER SITONFERENCE TABLE SO LONG AS THEIR TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY WAS NOT RESPECTED AND WOULD NEVER NEGOTIATE WITH AN ADVERSARY WHO
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WITH GREAT REGRET THE POSSIBLITY THAT HANOI MIGHT BE DESTROYED. IF IT WERE DESTROYED, THEY FEEL THAT THEY COULDODERN CITY, WHICH WOULD BE MORE DIFFICULT TO DO OTHERWISE.
Original document.
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