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Central Intelligence Bulletin
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86
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The CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN is produced by the Director of Central Intelligence to meet his responnb.ntie* for providing current intelligence bearing on issues of national security to the President, the National Security Council, and other senior government officials. It is produced In consultation with tbe Departments of State and Defense. When, because of tbe lime factor, adequate comultatKwi with tbe depart, mcnt of primary concern is not feasible, items or portions thereof arcby CIA and enclosed with brackets.
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WARNING
This document contains classified inforrnabon affecting the national security of the United Stales within tbe meaning of the espionage laws, US Code,.
Central Intelligence Bulletin
contents
South Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 1)
Communistaos: The Chinese have apparently resumed building roads into Laos. {Page 2)
arge group of North Korean infiltrators seems trapped in South Korea. (Page 3)
reak in royalist rankspresage an end to the fighting. (Page 4)
Czechoslovakia: There have been more anti-Soviet demonstrations. (Page 5)
Westerlin: Student demonstrations (Page 6)
USSR: Circumlunar flight (Page 6)
USSR: Nuclear test (Page 6)
USSR-Iraq: Aircraft deliveries (Page 7)
I 1
The Saigon face-saving formula
ta 1
government is casting for participation in
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our side" South Vietnamese to
South
about the Par j:
One proposal,ariation or tne "our position which would allow the
to and
to Paris political elite.
be acknowledged publicly as the chief spokesman for the allied side at the talks. President Thieufeels that this proposal would ensure equity with Hanoi and hopefully giveuperiorover the National Liberation Front, At the same time it would render the government's decision go to Paris palatable to the Vietnamese public
Thieu wants the proposal passed to Ambassador Bunker as soon as possible, so that discussions can begin. According to the source, Thieu does notthat the Americans will accept the proposal, but he is hopeful that it might serve to openew dialogue with Washington and eventually lead to some sort of acceptable compromise.
was separate
Communist military activityoventoer was confined to light mortar attacksew towns and villagesS Marine base. Three district towns in theII Corps area and civilian hamlets on the outskirts of Quang Ngai and Hoi An were hit with light mortar fire. Casualties were light. S Marine base south of the DMZ was hitoundsm. rocket fire in four
incidents with no casualties or damage.
nmi Fihim
Although major enemy units continue their
plans in
ainexpecting attack orders in the near future. Two regiments in the area of the Demilitarized27th andthanother two innd theattack essagesovember. (SECJUZTB mi
Nov 68
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Communistaos; The Chinese haveresumed constructionoad from southern Yunnan Province into northern Laos -
ince
early
workingoad leading southward from the border village of Ban Botene. The laborers apparently are accompanied by Chinese security troops *
roaa win continue soutn to Nam Tha, with one spur heading southeast toward Muong Sai
Roads linking Nam Tha and Huong Sai with China would facilitate the flow of supplies to Pathet Lao troops in remote areas of northern Houa Khong and Luang Prabang provinces that are not connected by road to North Vietnam. The new road construction may be the Communists1 reaction to the increased activity of government guerrillas in the area during the past year.
The Chinese have been engaged in intermittent road building in the area under the terms of an agree ment reached with Prime Minister Souvanna Phouma The current activity is the most significanthen similar numbers of Chinese laborers were used to complete thehong Saly road. At that time, the Chinese publicly announced plans tooad system linking southern Yunnan with larger Laotian villages across the border. Little had been done to carry out this plan, however,for sporadic work on thean Botene section of road by small labor gangs. (SECRET) (Map)
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The North on the South Korean trapped. Moreorces, includingh possible escape routes,woma the area, and thus far The roundup is expected cause of rugged terrain
Korean guerrillas whooastovemberouth Korean security ore naval units, have blocked
South Koreannfiltration teams are in seven guerrillas have been killed
to take considerable time be-
and bad weather.
North be the largest aspect was the forced the first instance of war, {SECfRET
indoctrination of villagers, "armed oropaganda" since the
Korean infiltration attempt appears to since the Korean war. Another unique
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Nov 68
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yemen: ajor break in yemeni royalist ranks mayirst step toward an end to the fighting.
rominent royalist tribalmunassir, agreed to end the fightingand to merge his tribal forces with those
the republic,
hunassir was rewarded by being appointed
commander of the eastern zone. inouncil of elders is to be established beforeovember to discuss changing the name of the yemeni arab republic to something more palatable to the strongly muslim tribal leaders, such as eliminating the word republic.
comingime when th^ republic wasew royalist offensive as well as internal disorders in the capital, this change-over by the most tenacious of the royalist leaders must be regarded as more than simple defection. the conditions he extracted from the republicans appear to support this view.
there is no clear evidence, however, thatis connected with the tenuous peacewhich have been dragging on between theand with the saudi arabian government. itlikely that, as the tribal leaders^hayeindependent of both royalist andgovernments, they have tended to carryown negotiations. ontinued trendin switching allegiance to thesubstantially reduce the area of fightingresulteneral tribal peace.
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^Czechoslovakia: There were more anti-Sovietin Prague yesterday.
Czechoslovak soldiers and police used force to attempt to break up crowds shouting anti-Russian The demonstrators included several thousand young people, students, workers, and office employees. The presence of white- and blue-collar workersign of the unusual depth of the anti-Soviet feeling in Prague.
Some of the marchers were apparentlyagainst their ownparticipating in ceremoniesovemberthe anniversary of the Bolshevik revolution.
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Earlyovember there were manifestations of anti-Russian sentiment centering on the Esplanade Hotel, and tho police exercised restraint in breaking them up. During the late afternoon and evening the situationespecially near the party central cosmittee building, and the police began using their clubs.
The Soviets seem toxpecting the Novembercombathe best high-speed roads leading to some small Soviet units in thebill I
skirts of the city where none had previously
Moscow will undoubtedly consider thea serious affront. The Soviets will seeevidence that the Dubcek leadership is either unable or unwilling to live up to its promise toanti-Soviet manifestations. The Soviets,probably intend to intervene with their troops only if the situation gets out of control of thesecurity forces.
There may be more demonstrations or even street clashes onovember, when pro-Soviet partyplan toublic rally. (SEcJrfi*T) (Hap) J
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NOTES
West Germany - Berlin: Radical studentnationwide demonstrations tomorrow toan abortive Ccmnunist revolutionrotest the Vietnam war. Some groups areviolence in order to provoke thethereby recover the broader student supporthad last year. West Berlin police,casualties, acted with restraint in puttingviolenceovember; thohope thus to undercut the radicals.
USSR: The Soviets probably will attempt anncum lunar flight within the next several days. Space support and recovery ships in the Pacific and
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addi tional mili tar
USSR-Trag; Tenighter-bombers arrivedonctober, the first Soviet delivery ofIraqear. In addition, the USSR deliveredthreeargo transports and tworansports last month. Four more SU-7sa total ofemain to be shipped under ansigned in Another arms pact wasinnd an Iraqi militarywent to Moscow last September, probably to seek equipment. (TOP SEfiff^T
Venezuela: issident Communistreportedly plans some unspecified"an American colonel" in the nearterrorist groups are also reportedlytry to disrupt the national elections on 1 US business facilities as well as USbe easy targets for hit-and-runand it is doubtful that governmentforewarned would be able to prevent
fill
InteJ/igrnte Bulletin
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NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATES
The United States Intelligence Boardpproved the following nationalestimatest
"Eastern Europe and tbe USSR in
the Aftermath of the Invasionechos (SECJ&T)
8 'Soviet Approach to Arms
Control" (SECRET)
Nov 68
II)
Top^cre
TopSecret
Original document.
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