WR: A CLOSING DOOR?

Created: 12/19/1969

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE

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The WEEKLY REVIEW, issued every Friday morning by the Office of Current Intelligence, reports and jnalyr.es significant developments of the week through noon on Thursday. Itincludes material coordinated with or prepared by the Office of Economic Research, the Office of Strategic Research, and the Directorate of Science and Technology. Topicsmore comprehensive treatment and therefore publishedas Special Reports are listed in the contents pages.

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The WEEKLY REVIEW MUST NOT BE RELEASED TOGOVERNMENTS and must be handled within theof specific dissemination control provisions of.

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A Closing Door?

departure this week for Moscow of the chief and deputy chief of the Soviet delegation to the Sino-Soviet border talks in Peking, ostensibly for the current supremeSo-viet session, follows two months of apparently fruitless negotiations. The departure of the two Russians cameackground ofSoviet reports of lack of progress, and an apparent Soviet desire to reduce the discussionsower level. The Chineseof the move carefully reported that the delegation would be gone about one week and that the talks were "temporarily recessed in their absence." This mayhinly veiled threat that the talks will break down completely if the two Russians do not return to Peking. The Soviets have announced nofor their return. In private, however, soviet officials arethat First Deputy ForeignKuznetsov will be returning, although perhaps not for long.

Reports that the Soviets had intended to recall Kuznetsov have circulated for the past month. ell-informed Soviet official told US diplomats last week that theof reducing the negotiationsower level was then beingin Peking, and that two months

of negotiation at the deputy minister level were enough.

The Chinese are reported to have refused to progressemand that thereroop withdrawal from border areas and from Mongolia. The Soviets may believe that Kuz-netsov's return to Moscow willtheir serious concern over the deadlocked issue, and they may send the deputy minister back for one more try before replacing him. In publicly announcing the departure, Moscow sought to make clear thenature of the talks bythat the remainder of the Soviet delegation is still in Peking.

Continuation of the talks appears to be the one common objective of both sides and there still may be timeompromise if the level of representationrucialat this time. At the least, neither side wants to befor the cessation of Peking has clearly been nervous about Soviet militaryand probably feels less apprehensive while talks are in progress. The Russians know that the discussions have probablyajor factor in keeping thequiet for the past several months, and would like to see thatcontinued.

EGRET UMBR.t

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