WR: NO INDICATION OF SIGNIFICANT PROGRESS AT PEKING TALKS

Created: 4/17/1970

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

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The WEEKLY REVIEW, issued every Friday morning by the Office of Current Intelligence, reports and analyzes significant developments of the week through noon on Thursday. Itincludes material coordinated with or prepared by the Office of Economic Research, Ihc Office of Strategic Research, and the Directorate of Science and Technology. Topicsmore comprehensive treatment and therefore publishedas Special Reports are listed in the contents pages.

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NO INDICATION OF SIGNIFICANT PROGRESS AT PEKING TALKS

Although Moscow has asked Peking toewand may have made some token troop pullbacks from the border, Brezhnev's remarks onpril indicate that no substantial progress has been made in the.

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ii WEEKLY REVIEW

Apr 70

No Indication of Significant Progress at Peking Talks

a few Soviet andofficials have alleged that there has been "some progress" at the Peking border talks, there is no indication that basic obstacles have been overcome. Moreover,ajor speech onpril, Soviet party chief Brezhnev berated thefor creating an atmosphere that in "no way facilitates the success' of the talks.

The claims of "progress" may have been generatedovietthat Pekingewand the possibility that Moscow may have made some token troop pullbacks along the frontier. In late March the Soviets asked Peking for agrement on vladimir'Stepakov as the new Soviet ambassador to Stepakov, who until recently had been head of the centralpropaganda department, does not have experience in either diplomatic or Chinese affairs.

agreement with China to exchangeand that Pekingittle later." There has been no confirmation of this from Chinese officials, however, and an Eastern European diplomat in Peking said that as ofpril the Chinese had not agreed to Stepakov's The Chinese are almostreluctant to help open the way for Kuznetsov's departure from the talks. Nevertheless, they probably will accept the new ambassador in order toositive attitude in the dispute and to keep the crucial border negotiations in session.

has been no independent confirmation of any Soviet troop

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along the border but it would be extremely difficult tomall, local pullback. The Soviets heretofore have adamantly resisted Chinese suggestions that they reduce their military pressure or withdraw forces from disputed frontier areas. Moreover,trongly worded Red Star article appearing at about the same time as Chou's reported remarks condemnedmilitary construction and other acts of an "openly provocativeon the Chinese side of the frontier.

It is possible, however, that Moscow is hopefulokenof no military significance mightoncession from In addition, Moscow could

point toove as "proof" of its flexibility in the face ofalleged intransigence.

isians may the notion that they have their problems with China under control during the second round of SALT. In addition, they may be eager to find evidence that their six months of talking with China are producing results. remarks onpril regarding China are the most recent of several signs, however, that no substantial progress in the Peking talks has been made or is likely to be made soon.

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Page 14 WEEKLYApr 7C

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