INDIA - PA KISTAN SITUATION REPORT (AS OF 1600 EST)

Created: 12/16/1971

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

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INTELLIGENCE A(

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of Intelligence1

INT! LLIGENCE MEMORANDUM

India-Pakistan Situation Rep rt

Danola-Now Governmonf Take. Sha

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An official spokesman in Ne Delhi said tod iy that tho new civilj.onngla bash is expected to take ovor tomorrow, and Indian Defense Secretary Lall has announced!that fourof the Bengali government flo Dacca tod iy toransitional government. Lall fur Acr asserted that tho question o: repatriation of /est Pakistani soldiers who have lecorao prisoners of *ar would bo negotiateddia and"atine when the aggress .on aqainst us

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rep>rt, inc inaian Government will ifis Banjla Deshationally based jovornment ratier than one like the present provisional government, which is dominated by ths Awami League. The Awami League has been resisting, but Prime Minister Gandhi reportedly has coine Lo anwith the nine-man Consultative Committee which incjiudes pro-Moscow Communists and months ago. According to the agre^ ativo Committee will form the nuole Der&jali government. What wouldoombcrs of tho government ie

The Indian Army will not withdraw from Ease Bengal until it is satisfied thjat the Hukti Bahini does nothreat to the new

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tability. To this and, tho army has been tructod to isolate extreme radicv1 elements with-the Irregular forces, it is lik< ly that only former police units will be alleged toecurity roles; tho frontier yuarda and Dongali Rifles will be disbanded. Indian

hope that policing activities by the Indian will bo keptinimum.

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4. Press reports also/that ImIan forces remain in East Bengal Cor an irfdofinito ueriod time. It will reportedly be the jrcoponnibility tho Unified Indian Bengali Command to repair the caused by the Pakistani occupationndian Government spokesman has described the ios of the Unified Command as the restoration of normalcy, the rehabilitation of public utilities, tho repatriation of the refugees ,

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doscribas aa follows:

easternurora, Indian and ahallramilitary their arms surrender to kistani Eastern of General regarding

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5. The Now Delhi domestic prcs terms of the Pakistani surrender all Pakistani armedo surrender to Lieutenant Gene Indian commander-in-chief of the lie Dosh forces; 2) the surrender Pakistanis in land, naval, and forbesj 3) these forces will lay dow where they are currently located and the nearoot regular troops;om land will then be under tho order >ra, whose decisions will be fina >rprotation of the terms of surro der

nd guaranteed to him. Ho all foreign po pic of West

per tho als na Pak

urora gave assurances that onnol will be treated with digni safety of all those who surrendeundortook to offernals, ethnic minorities, and stani origin.

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Pakistan should be permitted to returrfsafely toDeshj engali members of the? Pakistan Armoci Forces in Wast Pakistan shoul to return safely to Bangla Desh, an Army in East Bengal should 3urronde and equipment to the joint' Indian-B

7. On the morning ofocomberf Bangla Deeh (ovornment representatives handec Major Ganorii Jacob, chief-of-staff for the fendian Armyastern Command, the following bugqestions for conditions to bo imposed upon the Pakistani Cover iment: heik Mujib should be Returnedo Bangla Dosh;engalis living in Kost

Armed Forces in Wast Pakistan should to return safely to Bangla Desh, and

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command; andakistan Prime Minis. NuruL Amin and othor Bengali "quislin repatriated to Banela Desh ^ta_at*nd t

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on, the Indian Government alompensation from Pakistan for

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personnel looses during, tho hostilities as as for military equipment damaged] or destroyed..

8.

thatldue"or tno army

Pakistani army officers areainst Prssijdont Yaliya. They apparently blanjo him for refusing to allow them to take the initiative in tho west with heavy armor. They seem to bo accusing him tf waiting for an anticipated Ccmnfunist Chinese intervention and of having an exaggerated fear of some '

type of Soviot intervention.

Aid to Pakistan

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ounds ofm ammunition, indicated that tho ammunition will be If li Jorddnian pianos to Dhahran, Saudi Arabia whore

ill olrir it- fQr delivery to Pakistan

rdaniono thomr-as Dhahran.

thats to Jordan to f eParQ parts and small ammunition to Pakis-

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the Saudis requested that thefly the latest shipment as far

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Situation

The military situation has substantially in the last few hours, the Pakistanis continue their buil sovth of Lahore.

changed In the westforces

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war, continues with heavy figt ting reported each side. There are no reports of major action any othor sector of tho border.

ian Policy and Pronouncements

was

cl^imd Kashmir

OXcrcibe its- iiyliti

th wh

fiiial, the Soviets were told rough ng by Indian special representat saw Kosygin onecember.

India has categorically re accusation that Indian armed forces Ch. .na-Sikkim border and intruded inor reconnaissance.

the Chinese crossed the bo Chinese torri-

in vi su

i-bearing groups and the'eon-

13. Demonstrations againctlicy in tho Indo-tistani conflict arearious points India. Slogau-shouting, potitio sited tho US Embassy in New Delhi

srts that the nber, possibly

cause they have been distracted bthe events grounding tho various cease-fire proposals.

Lates in Bombay, Madras, and Calcitta today. Although Bombayrowing inti-Amorican trund yesterday, today Calcutta rep denonstrators have been fewer in nu be su

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'akistaniI

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We^fc Pakistanl officials apparently have been ordered to spread the word that sfcviet personnel were militarily involved iniT waf gainst Pakistan. There isl still no evidence to support the Pakistani allegations.*

charges have been repeat, representatives in Ankara, Rangoon, P. London, Rome, and Madrid. The Pakist< in Paris claimed that Pakistani air f< had slighted anissile and impli< had bbon firedoviot. There is however, that Sovietissiles ha' to India.

Pakistani' :is, Bonn, ii attache :ce officers

that it io evidence,

been delivered

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possible clue to how the remainder of

Council has fcsumad Sf situation, bfit there2 1 *" the status ofc

session

tuiiicJAnuax- or Jthis sea;rovldQdn Foreign ed that tho Council take no action on "troop

will Minis pleac

f?ft fQS,olutioris under consideration. A

- . iiu action on "troco

;re text, lecopt as an

which inter

the Indians now say they could ace im measure, has not yet been drafted.

t4 cease-flrSffact" 3imP^ cease-fi1

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