WEEKLY SUMMARY: MIDDLE EAST: ON AND ON IT GOES

Created: 9/29/1972

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

So ForrigB Doom

DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE

WEEKLY SUMMARY

APPROVFC FOR RELEASE DATE: SEP

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TfM>UMMARY, ittuad every Friday mvnlng by tot Office ofitell leaflet, ttportlanalyzes Ugnif-

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hitiRtiudt) material coordinated with or prepared

; by the Office Of Economic Research, tha Of Mci of Strategic.Dlrtctorsti of Scitnca and Technology.rino fort comprehensive treatment and tfwrt-rort putttthed wpa-atery ai Spacuttra Hrted In the

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Tha weekly summary contalnt claiUlitdtha nationalrity or the Unlttd State*,meenirvy of3. of theas arrvrmdad. Its transmission or revelation of Itsto or receipt by an unauttwlied peoon ft prohibited

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Tht WEEKlV SUMMARY MUST NOT BE RELEASED TO FOREIGN GOVERNMENTS and must be handled within the 'framework of specif* dhsemmatlon control provisions of: ,

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EAST: ON AND ON IT GOES

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' Tel Aviv has not attacked the fedayeen or their Arab hosts since the ground operation into southern Lebanoneptember. Tel Aviv seems to be awaiting evidence that Beirut and Damascus took previous Israeli strikes to heart and will indeed put curbs on the fedayeen.atter of fact, no Incidents were reported as originating from either country since lastbut this inactivity is unlikely to last.

' Israeli officials at home and abroadto emphasize, however, that theis Tel Aviv's main preoccupation. Itthat Israel wilt respond with swiftif terrorism flares up and that thebe Israel's Arab neighbors. Israeliunhappiness with what itback-sliding on its professedcurb the fedayeen and hinted strongly thatforces had to go back into Lebanon,

In contrast to these statement* on Lebanon, Tel Aviv has rather abruptly muted its hard line on Syrian responsibility for fedayeen actions and Its threats of impending military reprisals. The reason, formay revolve around several (actors. There have been no significant incidents and no Israeli casualties since shortly after Israel) forces began maneuvers on the Golan Heights. The problems of striking into Syria are more complicated and difficult than In Lebanon and are more likely toilitary reaction. Always sensitive to Moscow's moves. Tel Aviv has noted no visible signs of increased Soviet support for Syria and may,be doing some reassessing.

Moscow and the Arabs

A destroyer and destroyer escort fromMediterranean squadron, accompaniedamphibious ships, apparently enteredharbor at Tartus oneptember.exercise may take place in theThis Is the largest number of Soviet* Syrian port.

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The Soviets and Egyptians are also taking steps to patch up theirovietMinistry official has statedoviet-Egyptian summit will probably take place in about two months.

Lebanon and the Fedayeen

Cairo radio announced oneptembercomplete understanding" had been reached between the Lebanese Government and the fedayeen. Despite this show of amity, the details are yet to be worked out. The army is controlling fedayeen movement in the south by means of roving patrols and many checkpoints,ew fedayeen have been wounded when they refused to submit to army searches.the major fedayeen groups havefor the present to this control, splinter groupsot, and further incidents could occur.

I The Soviets have also been busy In Lebanon. In addition to the "defense" package offered to President Franjiyah last week, the Soviets have flown emergency medical supplies to theRed Cross and Palestinian Red Crescent, ostensibly for the use of Palestinians Injured In the Israeli raids.

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Original document.

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