ESTIMATES OF SOVIET GRAIN OUTPUT (S-09054)

Created: 5/23/1975

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

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RELEASE AS SANITIZED 5

Budget Examiner International Affairs Division Office of Management and Budget

Estimates' of Soviet Grain Output

KEMOrI^SSh fob: Emory Donaldson

=to youromparison of the

Em iJS?" CainwlCh harvest estimates made by tha Office of Economic Research at. the opening and closing of the crop year is attached, i

2j Jfci^1Portant to note that the earlythat average" weather conditions wouldthe remainder of the crop year. Becauseraid-summer is critical in determining grainoften at sharp variance with "average" stimates often change markedly. 2 we droppedillion tons fromillion tons of grain due to severe*rarfV Projectionbove the actual harvestmillion tons, and the later estimate waselow

3. It should be noted also that our success inthe size of the Soivet grain crop is dueethodology that has evolved over the past two decades

These data are not necessarily availa&le for otner countries. Application of our methodology to other countries tnerefore would not guarantee similar success.

further information is desired pleaseffice of the Comotroller, on.

Office of Economic Research

Attachment: As stated

m

Original document.

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