director of Centra/ Intelligence
National
Intelligence
Daily
Monday,5
:EC
Km nl.
MEXICO:
To Debate Financial Package, Amnesty
Both houses will meet in special sessions, probably beginning onon the financial package may prove
contentions; Ihe leftist opposition has called the requirement that oil revenues be used as collateral "treason" and will lead the attack.
Finance Secretary Ortiz will be asked to appear, and
ruling-party legislators arc likely lo join the opposition
in voting against the package.
A congressional eommillee proposal aimed at rcstaning peace talks with the Zapatista National Liberation Army (EZLN) also will be debated.
The plan recommends creationpeace zone" where talks with the EZLN would take place,rogram for governing Chiapas, and includes an amnesty agreement Ihal President Zedillo has suggesled.
Congressmen sponsoring the proposal claim they have the support of Government Secretary Moctczuma and Chiapas mediator Kuiz.
The Mexican Congress historically follows the president's wishes in national policy matters, and the large ruling-party majority is likely to endorse the financial package eventually. Furthermore, the development of the Chiapas strategyultiparty committee probably will help smooth Us passage.
If ruling-party hardliners see Ihe peace proposal, particularly the new plan for governing Chiapas, overly lenient to rebeb, they proliably will object. i
cimiinued
et
IIWS
Mexico:Fiscal Pressures
Deficit spending this year is forcing Mexican officials io consider tougher measures toudget surplus as required by US and IMF financial assistance packages.
udget surplus is complicated by President Zedillo's edictew value-added taxahor Sccrciary Onatc's strong opposirion to further cuts in public spending.
Vigor
Original document.
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