CHILE: PRES. PINOCHET'S VICTORY

Created: 1/5/1978

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NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY CABLE8

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Chilean Presidentppears to haveersonal victory in yesterday'0 plebiscite. The voteoun beat hopes for the outoome. The latestfigures indicate that aboutercent of the votinpapproved his rule,

I We expect Pinochet simply to ignore critics of the voting process, which was heavily loaded toavorable result. Ho will make the most of the victory as evidence of the regime's legitimacy and of his own political wisdom. In months to come, Pinochet is likely to have reason to regret thisin manipulating public opinion, which probably has raised political expectations that the government will not want to meet. But for now, Pinochet isrivileged position.

Having consolidated his superior position in the junta, Pinochet willree hand in many areas. Probably at least the more outspoken of his critics on the junta. Air Force General Leigh, will be obligee* to retire. Another junta member. Admiral Merino, might also step aside.

Pinochet's win will galvanize support in the mili-tary/wnero doubt about his judgment and leadership wasto spread.

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Options on the domestic scene are broader. Pinochet certain to be tougher toward opponents in political and labor circles, but he could go either way toward the public generally. He might loosen some of the more onerous security restrictions such as the curfew, but he will sec no need to narrow his definition of subversion.

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