NORTH KOREA: MILTARY CONTINGENCY MEASURES

Created: 11/8/1979

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Pyongyang la probably watching for aigna of serious political instability in the South. Even if auch signs develop, other factors will have an important effect on how the North might attempt to Influence the situation.

Most important is Pyongyang's perception of the strength of the US commitment to defend South Korea. Ths North will also weigh the capabilities and theof South Korean troops and the likely reactions of China and the USSR, both of which have made clear their desire to avoid Increasing tensions on the. www

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