POLAND: FIRST DAY OF THE CONGRESS

Created: 7/15/1981

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Moscow's representative tendered his remarks,by asserting that the basic principles ofownership, working-class rule, and the Communist party's leadingbe preserved. He also reaffirmed that the defense of "socialism" inis of concern to its allies and repeated Soviet accusations of Western attempts to use the crisis to upset the global balance of power. Grishin's remarks included an unusual public allusion to the economicthat Poland's allies are experiencing because of delays in export deliveries from Poland. MJU

The balanced tone of Grishin's remarks, particularly his expression of confidence in the Poles' ability to resolve their problems, suggests that Moscow expectsmoderates to hold their ground, and perhaps to gain some. His admonitions, however, indicate that Moscow remains wary of possible radical changes at the congress and that it will continue to try to constrainin Poland. MM/

Economic Program

On Monday Warsawomprehensive proposal for stabilizing the Polish economy. The program, which could require strict austerity and involve moreoubling of food prices, is politically explosive, optional measures were presented. MW

Implementing any austerity program without adverse popular reaction will require agreement as to objectives and means. The Kania regime probably designed itsmainly to show the population that drastic measures are required to resolve Poland's economic problems. The regime hopes that discussions at the party congress, in the legislature, and with Solidarity will help toonsensus.

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