COMMENTS REDACTED NORMALIZING RELATIONS WITH THE U.S. AND ON THE MIA ISUE, ON

Created: 11/26/1982

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

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NSA IftPOP STflIF, . rHEASUflY E HOUSE SITUATION ROOM. ZEN/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL ZEN/CIA OFFICE OF CURRENT OPERATIONS, HONOLULU HI. COMUSKOREA SEOUL//BJ, COMUSFKSA.

jf NOV 82

NSA FOR ZKZKLS OE IFOR MSOCIi STATE ^Ofl INR: CINCPAC IFOR CINCPAC. COMIPAC. POLAD ONLY I. COMUSKOREA IFOR COMMANDER

CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY

INFORMATIONCLASS R E

inue'rfcLationsT and on sino-north korean

RELATIONS

F. AID AHOBE DESIRABLE. THE SRV HOLDS OUT LITTLE MOPE ATTHAT IT HILL BE FORTHCOMING. . GOVERNMENTAGREED TO SRV CONOITIOHS FOR NORMALIZATION BY RECOGNIZINGINDEPENDENCE ANO RIGHT. MEMBERSHIP. INCLUDE APPARENT CONFLICTS OF OPINION AND OTHERIN. THE MAJORITY OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLEAS FAVORING NORMALIZEO RELATIONS. BUTEMAINS OPPOSED. .

AID IS NEVER RENDERED. IT HILL NpT MATTER IH Trg LANG RUN.

AND

2 CONCERNING ONEHAT HIS NATION DOES NOT HOLD EVEN ONE AMERICAN Ll IillU. . HAS ASKEO ANO RECEIVED SINCERE SRV COOPERATION WITH REGARDISTING OF AMERICANS STILL BELIEVED TO BE MISSING. Wmm9am OESCRIBED IT AS QUITE REGRETTABLE THAT.HE SRV RESPONSE ANO MAINTAINS THAT THE SR/ STILL HOLDS SOME AMERICANS FOR ONE REASON OP ANOTHER. THE SRV GOVERNMENT IS CONTINUING AT PRESENT ITS EFFORTS TO. UNDERSTANDING CONFIDENCE ON THIS QUESTION.

IT CANNOT BE DENIED.THAT. MUST PROTECT CHINAOSS OF FACE ERATION OF RESTORING NORMAL RELATIONS HITH THE SRV. CHINA CERTAINLY HAS NO DESIRE TO SEE NORMAL. RELATIONS BECAUSE OF THE FEAR THAT SUCH RELATIONS WOULD RESULT TRONGER VIETNAM. . UNDERSTANDS THIS PERFECTLY AND, THEREFORE, PURPOSELY ISOLUTION TO THE NORMALIZATION PROBLEM.

AS PART OF ITS GLOBAL STRATEGY, CHINA IS COLLABORATING HITH. AGAINST THE SOVIET UNION, ANO. IS INVOLVEO MITH CHINA IN AN EFFORT TO COUNTERBALANCE THE SOVIET UNION. FOP ITS PART, CHINA HAS COMMITTED MUCH THE SAME POLICY MISTAKE IN THE PAST BY OPENING ITS DOORSERIOD INS ANO SUOOENLY FOLLOWING WITH THE "GREAT LEAP" FIASCO. CHINA'S MOENGI) XIAOPING IS REPEATINGISTAKE AT PRESENT AND PROVOKING VARIOUS OOMESTIC CONTRADICTIONS. HE HAS CONVICTEO THE "GANG OF FOUR" BUT HAS YET TO SUCCEED IN BURYING THEIR IDEOLOGY, ESPECIALLY IN THE ARMED FORCES. THE SRV BELIEVES THAT DENG'S PRIMARY TARGETS ARE THE AGING HARDLINERS IIYEll

JlANTINGIIN, WHO HAVE TO BE REMOVED AS OBSTACLES TO CONSOLIDATION OF HIS POWER. STILL HE HAS NOT BEEN ABLE TO GET RID OF THEM BECAUSE OF THE ESTEEM HELD FOR THEM BY CHINA'S MILITARY. SO, WHILE DENG HAS HONERTAIN EXTENT IN HIS ATTEMPT TO CONSOLIDATE HIS POWER AND POSITION IN THE PARTY, ME HAS NOT DONE SO IN THE ARMY. IT THEREFORE MAY BE CONCLUDED THAT THE PRIMARY CONTRADICTIONS IN CHINA NOW ARE CONTRADICTIONS BETWEEN THE PARTY ANO THE ARMY. IT ALSO MAY BE SEEN THAT THE SITUATION IN CHINA IS UNSTABLE BECAUSE DENG'S OPEN-DOOR POLICY HAS PRODUCED NO FRUITS EXCEPT THE INFILTRATION OF WESTERN CULTURE ANO LIFE-STYLE. ESPECIALLY AMONG YOUTHS, WHICH HASIFFICULT ISSUE FOR DENG AND HIS FOLLOWERS.

5. SIMILARITIES ARE ALSOIN THE ACTIVITIES OF THE

U.S. ANO CHINA IN SOUTHEAST ASIA, .

A. . HAS ALWAYS ATTEMPTED TO

AT ONCE, THIS HAS THE CASE WHEN. HAS GOING ALL OUT TO ASSIST THE NGUYEN VANEGIME IN SAIGON, WHILE ALL THE TINE BEING PREPAREO TO INSTALL, IFUPPET GOVERNMENT IN TAY NIMH PROVINCE. BECAUSE. LACKS SUFFICIENT UNDERSTANDINO Of ASIA ANO ASIANS, IT HAS ASSISTED THE WRONGWITH SELF-SERVING INTERESTS. THIS IS THE MAIN WEAKNESS NOT ONLY OF. BUT ALSO OF MOST OF WESTERN EUROPE.

_IS THE CASE WITHHINA HAS ALSO

MAIiMTAINED NORMAL RELATIONS HITH MOST SOUTHEAST ASIAN GOVERNMENTS, WHILE SIMULTANEOUSLY FOSTERING POTENTIAL OPPOSITION ELEMENTS.

7kl 3 rHIN'A Pt^iJtHLU StL TSil'Di-L ojJlSTANCE TO THE

rONOEHNED AS LACKEYS OF US. IMPERIALISM AND TRAITORS TO THE

PARTY THIS IS THE HAY IN WHICH CHINA ATTEMPTSENCEY UFAKFNING THEM, BUT THESE CHINESE DESIGNS

hKe^^UCCEEDeJ

INDOCHINA CHINA HAS NOT OARED TO TRY AGAIN jo {WISH the SRVT AS THREMCNEO BY DENG XIAOPING. BECAUSE CHINA SUFFEREO HEAVILY IN THE FIRST ATTEMPT AND THE CHINESE PEOPLE HAVED thf FUTILITY OF HAR AGAINST VIETNAM. the CHINtbt SI HELL AS OTHER PEOPLE HAVE COME to REALIZE DENG'S ERROR.

6. THERE ARE MANY ISSUES AND CONTRADCTIONS EMERGING FROM THE.

VEJ'ioME Important^con^

twf nF^CRATir PFOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF KOREA IDPRKI . TRATEGIC AND NOTACTICALY CHINA S "ALLIANCE" HITH THE DPRK'S JAPANESEENEMIES? PLUS CHINA'S SUPPORTINSPIRED IAPAN Tfl STRENGTHEN ITS MILITARY POSTURE. THERE Ant20NTRAd!ctV0NS SUCH AS CHINA'S COMMERCIALMnNfi KONG HITH THE REPUBLIC OF KOREA AND CHINATO SHOH ENTHUSIASM OVER THE CHOICE OF SONKIMI TO SUCCEED PRESIDENT IIKIMIl IL-SONG ERMSIMPACT,

Original document.

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