NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY

Created: 11/24/1997

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

Director of Central Intelligence

National

Intelligence

Daily

; -DATE:4

Monday,7

KOREAS:

Maneuvering Before Four-Parly Talks

North Korean Foreign Ministry spokesman yesterday said P'yongyang has been "promised" that the four-party talks scheduledecember in Geneva will focusS troop withdrawaleace treaty with Washington. The misrepresentation may be Pyongyang's way of signaling il will press on these fundamental issues during the talks.

The tactic wfttfeed South Korea's mistrust of Pyongyang's intentions.

In addition, this tactic will complicate the Kim government's efforts to manage domestic perceptions In the runup to the presidential election next month. South Korean officials publicly are saying negotiations will be difficult but will improve conditions for bilateral dealings.

The officials are emphasizing that Seoul did not promise food assistance in return for Pyongyang's agreement to participate in the plenary meeting.

The South's deepening financial problems and the recent, much-publicized arrest of two North Korean agents will erode support for more economic assistance to the North, which the conservative press contends must be directly linked to concessions.

The Seoul government-run paper predicts negotiations wit! begin in earnest onlyew South Korean administration takes office ncxi spring. The three main presidential candidates are playing down dealings with the North as an election issue, but all three say ihey would seek bilateral talks.

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