NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY

Created: 10/11/1983

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

CIAJCr'flS C

National Intelligence Daily (Cable)

Tuesday

3

FRANCE-IRAN: Bracing lor Reaclinn

//Tho FrencP *'t prapa/aigossible Sf'Orto toman ttsamn lo:hvl S'jpfwin Exocet mitsHts to Iraq.//

ho French probably are hoping that Baghdad will us* tha planes only (oi diplomatic levurege andefensive deterrent. It the Iraqis decide, howavar, to use ihe antrall and their Exocet missiles to attack Iranian olfshore oa plat torrrs or tanKers. the French win have to be prepa-aa in case Tehran carries out Its threats to cose the Strait ot HotmutV/f" |

//Sine* the French have only limited resources in the area and nan obligations in Lebanon, they would be dependant on the US tor air cover and othe* assistance in militaryhe region.//

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