NID - CHILE: PROSPECT FOR DIALOGUE FADING

Created: 10/29/1983

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

National intelligence

Saturday'

ctober

Secret

CHILE: Prospects (orridmg

Prospectsenewal ot talks between tnteno' Minister Jarpa and me Democratic Alliance arc- diminishing because ol lha government's increasingly lovgh line and the declining aUMy o> the Opposition lo mobilize proiesiO'3.

The government ha? decreed in^wisonmenf, and exee lorfwers andes from already published 'sti of eutes lilted to return.

The opposition bolioves ill ability lo mounl effective challenge* has slipped rapidly, and leaders are scrambling lo devise tactics mat will restore momentum. The Increasing frequency ol Ihe protasis Is also eliminating the lulls lhat had facilitated taixs.

Comment The declining, prospects for dialogue also may be strainingelations with President Pinochet. The'* have been confrontations between them over economic and poUtKaJ policies, and Jarpanow apparently conconlratlng on developing his ownot polilical support. I

This increased polanration. tne lack ol an effectrve channel lor dialogue, and growing frustration ol Ihe opposition, if coupledarsh government crackdown on leaders of the national strike sei for nexl month, could provoxo widespread violence.I-

TdXSecretrW'S

Original document.

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