NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY (CABLE)

Created: 3/22/1984

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

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National Intelligence Daily

I

Thursday

4

fiEPPCVED FCP PE-EASE DATE:4

IRAQ-IRAN: Countering Subversion Among tho Shia*

Iraq is moving on sereiai fronts to counter Iranian attempts toiaqi

Since Iran began its series of attacks along the border last month. Radio Tehran has beenajor propaganda campaign to subvert Iraq's Shia community. The Iranians are catling on their Iraqi coreligionists, who makeillion ot the country'sillion people, to overthrow President Saddam Huaayn'-

Iraqis have countered Iran's Jagenoa'campaign oy appealing to the Shlas' patriotism and Arab pride. They also note thai Saddamersonally popular with the Shlas and ihai so tar he retains their loyally. In recent well-publicized tours ol Shw areas. Saddam was received enthusiastically'

Comment: The Iranians, who probably underrate the strength ol Ihe Iraqi Shlas* nationalist sentiment, are likely to Increase terrorIsiraq lo coincide with their planned military offensive against Al Basrah. Iran alao will continue lo aim propaganda at Iraq's Shiaat Iheercent ol the military's enlisted ranks composed ol Shies,

Iraq's walMratned and efficient security services should bso contain the Iranian subversive campaign- In the past veer they have lo-ed a- ol Dawn's ^UempiMattacks

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