MEA BRIEF FOR 17 SEPTEMBER 1986.

Created: 9/17/1986

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

subject! mea brief from: pas contents

la lebanon: peace wiospects faoihc

ec-south africai limited sanctions inposeo

IN BRIEF

I. LEBANON: PEACE PROSPECTS FADING

PRIME MINISTER KARAHI'S INITIATIVE TO END THE CIVIL WAR HAS ENCOUNTERED FUNDAMENTAL DISAGREEMENTS AMONG RTVAL LEBANESE MILITIAS AND DECLINING SECURITY IN BEIRUT ANDISON.

.USLIM, IS EAGER TO CONTINUE THE TALKS BEGUN LAST MONTH WITH TWO CHRISTIAN CABINET MINTSTCHS LOYAL TO PRESIDENT GEMAYEL. THE CROUP. KNOWN AS THE COMMITTEE Of DIALOGUE. HAS FOCUSEOARN PROCEDURAL MATTERS ANO HAS RECEIVED ONLY LUKEWARM SUPPOR1 EROM THE PRINCIPAL CHRISTIAN. SHIA. ANO DRUZE MlLIT LEADERSTHE MAIN CONTENDERS FOR POWER.

KADAMI APPEARS OPTIMISTIC. BUT THE CHRISTIANS HAVE ALL BUT RULED OUT ANY HOPE Of PROGRESS. '

CHRISTIAN CABINET MINISTER INVOLVED IN THE TALKS HAS SAIO THAT. AS LONG AS CHRISTIANS BELIEVE SYRIA IS THE REAL FORCE BEHIND KARAMI'S INITIATIVE. THE GROUP WILL HAVE LITHE SUCCESS

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LAST WEEK'S KIDNAPIKCS OF TVO US CITIZENS IN WEST BEIRUT AND THE INTENSIFIED HOSTILITIESSHIA EXTREMISTS AGAINST UNlFli AND THE ISRAELI-BACKED ARMY Of SOUTH LEBANON ARE INT IQi FPQn THE PEACE PROCESS TO THE OETERIORATIIW

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_ _ . fERENCE* AMONG LEBANON'S RIVAL FACTIONSTTlTcOnTINUE TO CRIPfll EfCRTS TOWARDS PEACE. MODERATE SHIA LEADED NABIH BARRI WILL REMAIN RELUCTANT TO ENDORSE THE DIALOGUE AS LONG AS THE CHALLENGES TO HIS POSITION IMPLICIT IN THE CONFLICT IN THE SOUTH PERSIST. DRUZE ANO CHRISTIAN MILITIA LEAOERS. WHO FACE INCREASED THREATS FROM THE RADICALIZED SHIA MOVEMENT AND FROM THE SYRIAN CHALLENGE TO THEIR MINI STATES. ARE MORE WILLING TO SEEK ACCOMMQOATICULARLY ASCJSOMPREHENSIVE SOLUTION TO THE LEBANESE CRISIS FADE.

C-SOUTH AFRICA: LIMITED SANCTIONS IMPOSED

FORE ICN MINISTERS MEETING IMPOSE LIMITEO ECONOMIC SANCTIONSAN OH IMPORTS OF IRON, ON NEW EC INVESTMENTS IN SOUTH Af OF ITEMS TENTATIVELY AGREE0 TO IN PORTUGUESE ANO, ESPECIALLY. WEST AND STEEL IMPORTS WILL TAKE EFFEC IONS WILL BE DELATED UNTIL M

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COAL IMPORTS0LMOST TWICE THE CO' AFRICAN IRON. STEEL. ANO GOLO COII THAT THE EC SANCTIONS WILL HAVE ll ECONOMY. STRONG AOVOCATES OF SANC! DENMARK. WERE FORCED TO COMPRQMiSI WHILE THE QUESTION OF SANCTIONS I!' SOUTH AFRICA rS LIKELY

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PARLIAMENTARY DELEGATION BEGINS VISIT TO BULGARIA. HUNGARY. CZECHOSLOVAKIA THIS WEEK . .RIPS TO POLANO. EAST. GERMANY LAST YEAR PAVED WAY FOR RETURN VISITS THIS FALL BY JARUZELSKI. HONECKER . . . BEIJING SEEKS IMPROVED TIES TO EASTERN EUROPE fJJfJsV

PRESS EMIGRATE TO DIPLOMAT .

SOUTH ASIA

--SOVIET NAVAL ATTACHE SHOT. KILLED IN ISLAMABAD YESTERDAY

REPORTS PAKISTANI KILLER FRUSTRATED BY INABILITY TO USSRO APPARENT LINK TO RECENT MURDER Of ARSH SOVIET REACTION UNLIKELY. "

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Original document.

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