NID: 1. PAKISTAN: NUCLEAR YIELD ESTIMATE CONSISTENT WITH KNOWN DESIGNS2. PAKI

Created: 6/1/1998

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

Director of Central Intelligence

National

Intelligence

Daily

FOR RHUS! OAIE Wl!UOI

8

llllljl iii

SccrrI

Special Analyses

Could Inflame Anti-Amrrfcanhnil

; on Pakistan will feed anti-US seniimen: becauseview them as iiiscrimin.!tor>'anti-US

demons*rations already arc

Editorials in major Pakistani newspapers arc repealing the common rcfiain that the sanctions wduW unfairly punish Pakistan while Moderating the real offender. India.

Many Pakistanis claim Washington wants to keep Pakistan poor and dependent |

In response lo sanctions. Islamabad may havedopt policies over the next year mat farther erode the limited buying power of the average Pakistani and fuel additional resentment toward the (IS Additional cuts inreduced to essential goods such us food. fuel, and industrial inputsepreciating rupee will increase the costs of basic goods.

Failure to cut spending will force Islamabad to finance lis deficit locally, which will crowd out domestic capita/ building.

lower Investment will Increase unemployment in urban areas, where at least one-third of the population lives on less than one dollar a

Good Political

Prime Ministerolitical opponents, such as former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto andslarni (SI) chief Qazi Hussein Ahmed, will use the lanccions issue to their political advantage. Ahmed, whose followers command significant "streetistory of whipping up anti-US senumraL

Inroup of JI members pehed the US Consulate in Lahore with bricks, and last August the J] burned Ihc American flag and torched effigies of President Clinton in Karachi I-

Ten Secret laeafkM

Original document.

Comment about this article or add new information about this topic:

CAPTCHA