HIIIASE IH PART EXIMPTIOHS Jtildj
launched cf feea!nd on* af/ran retaliated bj bitting th* oattkliti of Baghdad with al feaat (Are*^
Iraq hai now launched aloward Tehran and true* at Qom-and Wan has launched at least to. hB toward Bagndad
Commenl: Iraq's mlsslie campaign seams Intended to deter iranan missile attack* on Baghdad and to satisfy Iraqi popular^jornanCsfor retribution. In October. Iraqi Foreign Minister Ails to'dH that Iraqi citizens ware demanding retaliation for an Iranian miBsi* attackaghdad school that killedhildren. Aid Indicated hewar ol Ui*ut another senior Iraqi official suggested to US official* thai Iraq was exploring Hs optls.ns and had suffclent number* of long-range missiles to attack Tehran. Iran's missile attacks on Baghdad early Monday were its first since October.
Baghdad probably delayed using It* long-range mssiles untilould respond massively to an Iranian attack. It hopes it* strikes wii damage Iranian morale and deter futurelso calculate that Its missile attacks wii provoke Iran intoround offensive prematurely. Tehran'* failure toajor ground offensive this year and Iraqi mffitary preparations probaciy have helped build up Baghdad's confidence that It can defeat en Iranian offensive, fOriginal document.