IRAN-IRAQ PEACE TALKS

Created: 4/12/1989

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

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FOR DDCI

April9

IRAN-IRAQ PEACE TALKS

We expect the Iran-Iraq peacebe protracted,

but believe that the war-wearyunlikely to

resume hostilities this year. Theto

refuses to withdraw its troops from Iranian territory until Tehran agrees to an exchange of all POWs and dredging of the Shatt al-Arab waterway. Iran insists that Iraq must first withdraw its troops and reaffirm5 Algiers Accord between the twowhich for the first time granted Iran joint sovereignty with Iraq over thebefore the exchange of prisoners or the issue of dredging is discussed.

--We believe that progress is unlikely while Iran is

undergoing domestic political turmoil.

Formal negotiations on the ministerial level are scheduled to resume onpril in Geneva under the direction of the ON Secretary General, and will probably last one-to-two weeks.

USSR is trying to inject itself into the talks and has told Iran itimultaneous implementation of all of the provisions of UN. Tehran and Moscow haveeries of high-level talks on the negotiations.

probably sees the soviet mediation efforts as an opportunity to put pressure on Iraq, but Baghdad will continue to resist Moscow's efforts tolayer in the peace process.

n PiM|lln I. JJ^

pril9

Update for tho DDCI

Status of Forces and Activity along the Iran-Iraq Border

The ceasefire along the Iran-Iraq border continues to hold with no major artillery exchanges for the past two weeks. Tensions remain at high levels along the southern front, however, due to continued Iraqi occupation of Iranian territory and Iranian engineeringflooding of Iraqi forwardimprove their defensive position. There has been no major reduction in forces deployed on either side of the border, Iranian forces continue to reconstitute themselves with several brigade- and divison-sized units returning to near full-strength over the past two months, H

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FIlllIol ISI

Original document.

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