MIDDLE EAST BRIEF (DELETED) FOR 10 AUGUST 1989.

Created: 8/10/1989

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

OUTGOING

FOR UGUST

SUBJECT: NICOLE EAST BRIEF

fftoniPAS.|

COHTEKTS

I. ISRACL-LUANON-IRAJIi SITUATION RCNRT 3. INDIA-PAKISTANt SIKH VIOLENCE MY HAR* RELATIONS T) 3. IN BRIEF

SRAEL-LEBANON-IRANt SITUATION REPORTBINC IN SECURITY 2ONE

'SMtll SOLDIERS WERE WOUNDEDUICIDE CAR BOMBING INZtmt EBANON. HIZBALLAH CLAtnfO

ITH AIR

>ECF

L WANT T0 DEMONSTRATE ITS HANDS ARE NOTIS- ISRAILI OFFICIALS PUBLICLY HAVE

SECRET

'D COULO CONTINUE FOR MONTHS, ANO AlhOST CERTAINLY WILL RETALIATE FOR THE SUICIDE ATTACH- PROBABLY WITH AIBSTRIKES- WITHIN THE NEXT

OT: AUG 89

FEWIZBALLAH CAR BOMBFHC LAST OCTOBER PROVOKED AN AIR RAID AGAINST HIZBALLAH STRONGHOLDS IN THt SOWNCMM BEKAA VAL LET TWO DATS LATER. AN ISRAELI MILITARY RESPONSE PROBABLY WOULD RENEW THE SPIRAL OF VIOLENCE SET OFF BY THE KIDNAPPING OF SHATKh UBAYD.

NDIA-PAKISTANI SIKH VIOLENCE MY HARM RELATIONS

b3

HGICHTENED Si Ml VIOLENCE IN NORTHERN INDIA IN THE PAST TWO DAYS COULO SHARPEN INDIAN FEARS OF PAKISTANI SUPPORT TO SIKH TERRORISTS ANOHDERniNE ATTEMPTS TO IMPROVE RELATIONS. OMB EKPLOOEO ON A BUS BOUND FOR NEW OELH! USTtRDA KILLING ND INJURINGINDUS. JAMMU CITY IN THE STATE Of JAMMU AND KASHMIR WAS PLACED UNDER IHOEFIHITC CURFEWIKH ATTACK (DUS KILLED FIVE. INJURED ANO SPARKED WIDESPREAD VIOLCNCC.

NCRCASCO SIKH TERRORISM ANO ALLEGATIONS OF RENEWED SUPPORT WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT FOR PRIME MINISTER GANDHI TO IMPROVE RELATIONS WITH PAKISTAN. THE OCCURRENCE OF SIKH-HINOU VIOLENCE OUTSIOC ITS USUAL LOCALE IN PUNJAB AND EXTENSIVE PRESS COVERAGE WILL MAKE GAHOHI VULNERABLE TO OPPOSITION CHARGES THAT HC IS IGNORING NATIONAL SECURITY.

IN BRIEF MIDDLE EAST

Original document.

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