NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY FOR WEDNESDAY, 22 NOVEMBER 1989 -- EL SALVADOR: HOS

Created: 11/22/1989

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EX SAL* AUOR; Siiumiun Report

The attacks in Ihe suburbs probably were intended lo bring additional pressure on the government b> endangering El Salvador's cliic. The rebel's decision lo seize the hotel, where the OAS Secretary General was staying- proved toublic-relations blunder; it threatens to undercut FMLN efforts to rally international pressureeasc-nre. The propositioning of munitions near ihc hotel suggests thai the Sheraton was ihe primary target of yesterday's fighting. The attack also may have been the result of rogue guerrilla elements, as FMLN command and control capabilities in the capital probably have been diminished during this week's offensive. With the failure ofMLN leaders may increasingly turn to terrorism in an effort to extract concessions from the go* crnnK-nt

alvadoran rciugees lett their camp in Honduras and entered Morazan on Sunday. Meanwhile, the Army continues to detain an unknown number ofone Nicaraguthat they have aided the rebcls.B

Comment: Although Moraran is the principal rebel base area, insurgent control over the region has eroded over the past year, and it is unlikely the FMLN can seize control of the military headquarters at San Francisco. Refugees have unilaterallythou: ihe UN and almost certainly will help support the insurgent effort In Moraran. Despite the capture of the Nicaraguan citizen, there is no evidence that Managua hasseni combatants In El Salvador.

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