ORE
WZaTEStf OXRMAXTf
The XasVtYtst Uctloni is Otrineny. rwiltaa from tbo iixmpetibUity of Vfl and Soviotin confunctfcci frith certain basic Internal factors, thrAttvn Co dcatroy Weitera Cfcrmn tdhcrcrKc to modrraU pohlicajnd to ttiftari xr^rtftrryt.-'ed
i pf iwlifli Ocrraaft npt.jiigyr.rrL and Oman* *r* Ultih"
'ofmwrt US med lor coo-anaion to dirahd STtalcrQocr*lt aal poaticaJ ipl-crra The promt poatttraUan of Westerntoxvd pauttoi mre-Jte it influenced by the foQoetag tfcrr*hend vnth tbe weak Gercun
CC^WWbtftlal sdWattrato*ttb .t;ho probability of the rot lire
dliluUgiflUtift of the inoiecaxe Scctcl DcoxcraUc Party, the ocJyn-Coca-mansi labor fecte ia Orroay: and (J) tbe rightist tread of ftzwral Oennahirte ahJca hu increased aa ft remit of the large ertfruicMu'acct of ex-Nazis*toureopotarttaticn.ay Joee poUtaoal atrenfth to both the Itaht and lha Left, while the augsinant of the rightttl parties win be ailcctcd by tha itroAf current of resurgent Qennaa ntjaaiaat At present, there are tevezel risrJitirt partke toGermany; ofthe Watimsl TVrxcrfttic Parry,nder certain rcrtrifloca Sn tha UB Zzrzn% appear* tha most important vehicle for an
ripxiiLlQcn**n hot* BSay result in the dinunutidei
of !b* moderate parties, tho drvn>opmentrat acgrtscre Left* and toe ex* pumkm cf the MM with tocr*si4n* Weitera Otrrnsa tadepecstars cf Allied conirols.
mu; Ttw tntaniuUoa la thM0 Joot lveS
Ttw vumevnnthaof &uu, ArayH mC int Msiv have we-tttrrvd to Lib resort: tht Kt Isrtilraaecaittrwcevt* DepittjasM
TRX GSftliAiiY
v/tttetn Cfertnen adherence lo rttafcidv rnoOrratc political groups, rocJi at tfc SttUI Deniiieravo Lmity (CPD) and She ChrtrJavi Deroemtto Unionpart from otttoln belle internalas bom weejtwnad by UwUnatcns Lo Gcimany rteuHtnf rrom Uw policy cco&cto of the US and tee vault eteny Qerrnant ere UittrproUrkf tho Ufl stand aiainst CcextmoTtbnn or uteitfar Germany to eaehariC* iU presantirtxei yjeclocv _or rat cf eaireme rinonatuou in?nle-
OH the nt*bllriaUiM. ofoniay iOrmrrty Identified withii reglm JliPbilLi al rrcool elections Hott indicated ot feast the bet^ruuiio**
nor. potuini Mtaw/attissn.
sssssnVJ tees trend ftom left to -titM doieoop to on opceerawejree. eoxrese
r'VSAJaalta ei ji
rtnwebsif ranUwCt IlDjbhi, OaTaoaal pouivooi taedert will be riwoajni^ toocee cstasoo tUM en eoaoUrj of
f**mu>riy^ tttornsttnnal a Of eH
eertsog to the ewjrrcxi tTB Deed tor Jtjcoj ccoTrrotlca to the touiaean re-ooerrj protista end tea Qtrtnan rrsatnirrc to Soviet otertuiv*ntftcsllafl of Germany upon Convmunin Uitui, bare already larreaegdurads fee ss much fftedinu of scLlon eo la eotissrtent erths prole? Uon ocBlntt the USSR TAtfot* letJefor lery cotteeikBUobtained, the Oermom may fool that nothing furtheilo to gained from decnocrecy olid may become mar* reeapllro to Sen tot plani
Oof-rei- dlieathierttorj with the occupation and thaovernmental adrxilrJitjattom la long-standing and hat becocne terrotilr^-ly icosl Tn etew of cur-runt aondrOrti In Otrmaity, Otnnan pomfcaJ and Ifirdustnai Ivodvrt hove shown can-tiocrolyo eouH an to tha poat.bil.iycooeoctu: lmplt^ntot^Cp of the aVr^poon rutotery pgogedB* The to keders are not eegcr forestern
Oennen ipnwmt byCm* jnVobeh L'ewMt aienexy feeera,
endad feerer on cocqpaOon aatsste elenrly laati^linj end ftltnairrna; the ex-Ooat ef rUVedeer Oertnejx dvjertuan laeOeti ere tcouu: to He oonticeatnot of not Jotnt Exp<rtwlMpcrt Ageary. erjrh ibey eJetra ti ratog Oc/=utn rnreorn inane by lb) buieaveetfe araAc-aa Tbey are nnotaly entioal ef tbe pbana of thePuaeti ta aterrmV.renrr the atobr. ettJxxxt FFrreajaataignaatloB of adjaoant ^iiatnal areas end are oppaaed to fartherheavy intiuaUy add tne nnpoc^nnnd nrno^rtioo berel for Oeamu aiotietry. Li ronerai OerevaAe are ajathatic toward tWcmL tcoarane ritvored by the wealarn Povrrnt. and are reeantful of AJbed oanaalBoabta poJIoke and lUUffl tom- cfforU lo oVewroliae Ute populace and iiteraiir* tie old edoraiaonal tyrUm
The cnecreditlne cf TOupatiorjal pobtte^ at they are eatroted throughr Hoard or the load and Stomal adn^natrattoi. It now an Important rnoana by which Oh men potltc.om appeal t- the okotorata, Tha teleoirtencai of euclt po-ntloat appeala today la IUWIt to bo tn dUect ratio to tho rxtent lo vhHh the Weatirn
11HM ot ita* CMnrart edutaietraUoni identified with (best ire rxnxut nt The ^cwnces cf eetfttcnta recovery, lhe bed feed atuattatt. and Lhi fiiiororMurtlooei: thee* ere edvefiaed ee BOtrUcei erpuiaots, coeMbvileg< peter better thateiAfiata roe LcaliyoWatiei eoxtsnir eompeUk* oforii Brtmat* en both the left end Right ere ehfcf to cepRaBsr on the reeriaenta th* eaedaraao pohtkej pertlei beamcotpet&ae wfth Gven aaoaeaele reto+ory. Brcaw rf thx) Qennan eeeoheeti span AJaed gacitoenceerzicei ew the letee of luted coeCTt ta Oerany tany oatorcatna the fstsreriajiiiionl yf norma!M.ooeevhy.
The value of the OecvpeUon tn Oerxomji eyeee aeeojuredy no ahifety toutau the Wwtem Gerrran economy tflKle pceicntsig Owlet capeoi&n. into Western Germany, Oarman ictcreet in economic atti* however, li no atrancrr than Garaui* HMtntment efemit present fi>mlgn ccotrol Ai irm( ee any fenn ofUuDicooaU, QanVJH teatfal ID curled or circumvent the Jurtettttotiht Allied KUltary OctTcroBjenU will continue Ovrman governmental aftaalsi vrUl otollnua to evada them rcsponsibtfttWt and ittrrtrcU their intptoluda to at? inaufl^limt defrgsttno of authority by the Occupation rwers upon, which wfil be vMed aU the resantnwnt of the Orrsian pop^uaUob iauti: theof the* aaiaataaa
Tbe poTiuaJor tnxn trrgvafratehe latoesuajt ofetfaar.arat ptiiirwan at tha exatel la-awaciatk Party, aharcca tha accne iac<rjry tha paeaont poney of the party and peaaWyarfei vait'a; aa
wetL
aTfta SchxintaitarvrrrrerA. aaay Sooth Oermen partyha past were enablecaifut hh> leadership, will probacy attampt ko redocc the tfcfct centred eeardaad by partyat tot Step neareeuniia dual thalrmacahrp be created, which would equaulu the potiunn of ihrtnteraatt. represented farply by tha aowlh Oennan IwderaUela end the otntral party bvreaoo-raoT. rspreaentrd tercel? by the North rjennan* who have dorntaatsd tha party time IM* ruling hi thl* effort* Lead party leadati mayore uvn their retvecUv* areae. In addition* thereoWeitiaJ mroe Ofh-tewan tha trade anion wing of the party ana lha pttOtal teaflcrihip of
the party.
PolMlnfl ithuaaactwwa retlrwnvst the tariw peo^aenjwesiad aaOnter proone wUhja the Bocati Daeaecrahe Party eE pecaaebry rcsoaa in the part; ShocU tea party* poixy resaaea BTBiy openaefl ethar to Eh* UatM at eaacae CfonpaniaaJr hreah off and seen the
i* ptaatat Cat ipeaaTtaaa to the avaaJawtawi of Cerate* bteWtry eentiavaa and tbe Weatarn Oerman eracetvay eaeerteaiaai attaiaa aoaea tneaeure of peoepertty. the Lcoc-tcrmf Schuznacnera retirement wttaea eT party *tren|th to both the Meat and the tafl Kementa or tha riant ensf of the tortel DemccraUc Party, partlcttlarly theembert who Joint* the party under Sthunachert may break ofl and Join rightist or awe naltonaltott: polilioaJ rroupingi. The oncJal Democratic
renter, (ran wMifc gohumnohcc drew has support, easy swing toward tne toft to retain it* hold on thoho Huhr. TWe will or isnsctod Ini*ein socialisttrvslvding drrnwuia for iot*eJJfa.ccn ond
partcipatfon In nuukacetrent end opposition to Allied economicestern Germany, but la unllkaly to resultKsttngetaeen the Social DenTCtfltS ami tha Coiiungn.sU tn the nearrktng alHance between tbe STO end tbo Communist Forty for common objectives might dcrsEopt bowercr. tf tbo USVSt ceases id tbe SPD it erented fcoo fulflJlaig any of tbo major Its party program tte&uae of VSoesslbsilori. In re cecal, hoaoror, tha present pollUcal tread in Oercoany is to tbeand may dSTeloptrong current of ret urgent nsthmiTfTn Hccmt local electlona In tho US Zone tncbrsts irajresJang rightist appeal to ImoenliststisOedU as to German aatJoniEnfo
A partial canoe of this rightist trend has been tee increased to tins: etrrngtb of tr-KiziT. wno bate been iw-onfianchfred and are btgnnfrg to mass tbsir strength felt tn addition, German* expelled front foreign countries, such ss the VaDcedeatscbe and Sudeten German* from tbe East, are supporting; natlQns&it and irredentist aecesnaents. The main casx of this trend, hoovcesT, it tbe general attitude of tbo Germanho tend to be estreenibU attbbght toioerttsDjang of the theory of fotarnv mentby tbe center. DCstnuttr^ tb* Left for its connection trtth the USSR, thj avenge
Trill crai^Utothp oxtreme Kicfctoiicy o( dtrrci orticn, rather thanulUmtntury control att.Vjdc toward Cocaaimissn and tbe TJS3E.
At present, there are otcetsi rtghtttt parties tn Western Germany; of these the National Decoocrettc Party in tho PS Zone appearsat Harry eehfclo for an ccpanslau or OercAa naUooaHsm. although stillX. th* to parties rrny be expected to grow rapidly, unless VB Military Governmentarai os-Ucsiibly ncopolitteal orgratns^onj alto bate Out personcal and tbo capabilityttvetycOTgeoce cf iiationalism At present, tho largest of these e> sceiatlons la tbevaifftiteken KirciUn, sn occlestMticsl welters organ-tsattoa with, sa organisational structure ooratng aD Germany, ftcmtlet for interna-tlooel1 connections,ery questionable esactrthe paraonnei tn tne future, this and sfatiior grcupe, supported by elements of the gc^rrrunontnl and economicasn bs expected toptsy so active rest in promoting German naUooaHsa.
Tna itftbnate rasattt of tha "Weeing epnt between the Right and tna Leftoaay wiUhe diminution of thebe developmentinute but aejrairiva left;be expansion of tna Right Under present oootf tines, noeu ever, tbe fourth aad molt powerful etamsnt ertUlosetlsfioJ Lut poUticaii> amirmass, vhlch ats be unable to oppose actively prtecae AUM policies ond urtwotmg to psm::ptio in tbe cntl-Cccnn:iznitt campalgix Thai pcaltlcej mitt, hoeaseer* zrH]ource of latent etrengtb for tbe Eight, and should the Germans receWe politicalthis dement would activelygntitt programentnaloatd and liaised Oerman two, opecatuon to fortign iaUrventiocu and exptotstxo of tho TJ3-USSHi tht te-itSt of Goxznan na*-wnallim.
Original document.
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